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宁德时代(300750):2025年中报点评:业绩略超预期,净利率再提升,龙头恒强
Soochow Securities· 2025-07-31 02:33
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's H1 2025 performance slightly exceeded expectations, with a net profit margin improvement. The revenue for H1 2025 reached 178.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7%, while the net profit was 30.5 billion yuan, up 33% year-on-year [2][9] - The report forecasts a steady growth in revenue and net profit for the upcoming years, with expected net profits of 66.1 billion yuan, 80.2 billion yuan, and 96.6 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 30%, 21%, and 20% [4][28] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 94.2 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 8% and a net profit of 16.5 billion yuan, marking a 34% year-on-year growth. The gross margin was reported at 25.6%, with a net profit margin of 17.5% [2][9][10] - The company’s effective production capacity reached 345 GWh with a utilization rate of approximately 90%, and it is expected to reach nearly 900 GWh by the end of the year [14][15] Business Segments - The battery segment saw a revenue of 131.6 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 17% increase year-on-year, while the energy storage segment reported a revenue of 28.4 billion yuan, a slight decline of 1% year-on-year. The average price for power batteries was 0.69 yuan/Wh, down 13% year-on-year [17][19] - The company maintained a domestic market share of 42-45% in the power battery segment, with a 5 percentage point increase in the European market share to 43% [14][17] Profitability and Valuation - The report projects a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25x for 2025, with a target price set at 440 yuan per share [4][28] - The company is expected to maintain a strong competitive position as a global leader in power batteries, with a projected net profit growth of 30% in 2025 [4][28]