中国核电：2025年上半年发电量同比增长15.65% 智通财经7月3日电，中国核电(601985.SH)公告称，2025年上半年累计商运发电量为1,217.76亿千瓦时， 同比增长15.65%；上网电量为1,151.04亿千瓦时，同比增长15.92%。其中，核电部分发电量998.61亿千 瓦时，同比增长12.01%；新能源部分发电量219.15亿千瓦时，同比增长35.76%。 ...

国家能源局20日发布的信息显示，5月份全社会用电量8096亿千瓦时，同比增长4.4%。 分产业用电看，第一产业用电量119亿千瓦时，同比增长8.4%；第二产业用电量5414亿千瓦时， 同比增长2.1%；第三产业用电量1550亿千瓦时，同比增长9.4%。城乡居民生活用电量1013亿千 瓦时，同比增长9.6%。 1至5月，全社会用电量累计39665亿千瓦时，同比增长3.4%，其中规模以上工业发电量为37266 亿千瓦时。分产业用电看，第一产业用电量543亿千瓦时，同比增长9.6%；第二产业用电量25914 亿千瓦时，同比增长2.2%；第三产业用电量7406亿千瓦时，同比增长6.8%。城乡居民生活用电量 5802亿千瓦时，同比增长3.7%。 中国电力企业联合会统计分析，前5月，第一产业用电量中，畜牧业和农业保持较快增长，同比增 速分别为15.5%和7.2%。第二产业用电量中，高技术及装备制造业用电量增速相对领先。第三产 业用电量中，充换电服务业等新业态用电量保持高速增长，全国充换电服务业用电量同比增长 45.1%。 （戴小河） （来源：新华社） ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the public utility sector [1] Core Insights - The operating profit and profitability of the public utility sector have improved, with Q1 2025 revenue at 551.23 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.04%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 6.11% to 54.59 billion yuan [2][21] - The coal-fired power sector benefited from a decline in thermal coal prices, with Q1 2025 revenue at 307.92 billion yuan, down 7.67%, but net profit rose by 8.58% to 23.04 billion yuan [2][45] - The hydropower sector saw revenue increase by 8.66% to 41.80 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with net profit growing by 28.07% to 11.34 billion yuan, driven by increased hydropower generation [2][70] - The nuclear power sector experienced revenue growth of 8.42% to 40.30 billion yuan in Q1 2025, although profit performance varied among companies [2][28] - The investment strategy suggests maintaining an overweight rating for the sector, focusing on companies like Huadian International and Guodian Power in the coal power segment, and Xintian Gas and Xin'ao in the gas sector [2] Summary by Sections 1. Public Utility Sector Performance - The public utility sector includes 133 listed companies, with 102 in the power sector and 31 in the gas sector. In 2024, the sector's revenue was 23,085.51 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.24%, while net profit increased by 5.38% to 1,848.50 billion yuan [10] 2. Subsector Performance 2.1 Coal Power - The coal power sector's revenue in 2024 was 13,060.52 billion yuan, down 1.11%, with net profit rising by 24.06% to 676.91 billion yuan, benefiting from lower coal prices [28][32] 2.2 Hydropower - In 2024, hydropower revenue was 1,947.67 billion yuan, up 8.99%, with net profit increasing by 17.55% to 563.21 billion yuan, attributed to higher hydropower generation [62] 2.3 New Energy - In 2024, solar power generation was 419.08 billion kWh, up 28.2%, while wind power generation was 936.05 billion kWh, up 11.1% [79] 2.4 Nuclear Power - The nuclear power sector's revenue in Q1 2025 was 40.30 billion yuan, an increase of 8.42%, with varying profit performances among companies [2][28] 2.5 Gas - The gas sector's performance was impacted by rising costs, with specific companies recommended for investment [2] 3. Investment Strategy - The report recommends an overweight rating for the public utility sector, highlighting potential growth in coal and gas companies due to favorable market conditions [2]

25Q1 电量略有下滑，成本或仍有下探空间。根据公司发布的2025 年一季度销售量完成情况，2025 年 Q1 公司完成上网电量120.73 亿千瓦时，同比减少7.22%，完成供热量4040.41 万吉焦，同比降低 2.94%，其中居民供热量同比下滑3.93%，工业供热量同比增长30.16%。与从同时，2025 年公司火电机 组主要所在的河北、内蒙古等地公布的长协电价略有下滑，可能对Q1营收造成压力。但考虑到今年Q1 煤价仍维持下滑，我们认为公司主业成本仍有下探空间，盈利能力或继续修复。 盈利预测与估值：我们预计公司2025-2027 年分别实现归母净利润10.31/12.27/12.77 亿元，同比分别变 化+94.02%/+19.10%/+4.04%， 2025年4 月25 日股价对应PE 为11.92/10.01/9.62 倍。维持"强烈推荐"评 级。 风险提示：煤价大幅下滑风险；下游需求不及预期风险；新业务拓展不及预期风险。 事件：公司发布2024 年年度报告，2024 年公司实现营业收入235.17 亿元，同比+20.09%；实现归母净 利润5.31 亿元，同比+181.59%；实现扣非归母净利润3 ...