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特朗普政策转向催生“燃油车红利” 底特律车企有望节省数十亿美元
智通财经网· 2025-09-08 00:34
Core Viewpoint - The recent policy changes proposed by former President Donald Trump to eliminate federal electric vehicle (EV) purchase incentives and relax emission regulations are expected to provide significant financial benefits to traditional automakers in Detroit, allowing them to redirect investments back to fuel-powered vehicles. Group 1: Impact on Traditional Automakers - General Motors (GM) announced a reduction in electric vehicle production plans at two factories and a shift of a third factory to produce fuel-powered pickups instead of electric trucks [1] - Ford is reallocating funds originally intended for a canceled electric SUV to future fuel and hybrid vehicle projects [1] - Stellantis has restarted production of high-consumption Hemi V-8 engines, indicating a shift back to traditional vehicle manufacturing [1] Group 2: Financial Implications - The policy changes could create opportunities worth billions for automakers over the next two years, as stated by Ford's CEO Jim Farley [2] - The proposed fiscal plan includes the termination of a $7,500 tax credit for EV buyers and the elimination of fines for automakers not meeting fuel economy standards, which could save GM and Stellantis significant amounts in regulatory costs [2] - Ford has reduced its regulatory credit purchase commitments by nearly $1.5 billion this year, reallocating those funds to fuel and hybrid vehicle development [1][2] Group 3: Regulatory Changes and Industry Response - The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has proposed to withdraw strict greenhouse gas emission regulations, which could lead to a significant reduction in compliance costs for automakers [2] - Critics argue that these regulatory rollbacks undermine efforts to control automotive pollution, which is a major contributor to global warming [3] - Automakers have expressed that previous stringent regulations forced them to produce more plug-in vehicles than the market demanded, indicating a shift in strategy towards fuel-powered vehicles [3] Group 4: Consequences for Electric Vehicle Manufacturers - Electric vehicle manufacturers like Rivian and Tesla are expected to face substantial revenue losses due to the policy changes, with Tesla having earned over $10 billion from selling regulatory credits since 2020 [5] - Rivian anticipates zero revenue from regulatory credit sales for the remainder of the year, significantly impacting its financial outlook [5] - Analysts estimate that about 40% of Tesla's profits could be at risk if unfavorable policies for electric vehicles are implemented [5]