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投资的底层逻辑
雪球· 2025-12-29 08:01
Core Viewpoint - Many investors learn from successful investment experiences but still incur losses in practice, indicating a need to modify underlying investment logic [3] Group 1: Learning and Mindset - Investors should dedicate significant time to learning about investment, aiming to read over 100 books on value investing and prioritize financial freedom [3] - Understanding oneself and recognizing personal weaknesses is crucial, as these weaknesses can be magnified in the stock market [3] - Investors must break free from herd mentality and think independently, as the majority is often wrong in the stock market [4] Group 2: Analytical Thinking - Investors should focus on correlation rather than causation, as establishing cause-and-effect relationships in the stock market is challenging [5] - Utilizing statistical principles is essential, as relying on intuition can lead to poor decision-making; long-term investments are often more profitable than short-term ones [6] Group 3: Strategic and Emotional Considerations - Strategic thinking is vital for long-term investment success, considering broader economic and historical contexts [7] - A stable mindset is more important than high skill levels; emotional fluctuations can negatively impact investment outcomes [8] Group 4: Continuous Improvement and Support - Investors should remain humble and open to learning, acknowledging their imperfections and seeking to improve [9] - Gaining family support for investment activities is important, as societal biases against investors can create additional challenges [10] Group 5: Time Management and Focus - Investors should prioritize important tasks and relationships, avoiding distractions from unimportant matters [10] - Recognizing cyclical patterns in the market is crucial, as all investments are subject to cycles [11][12] Group 6: Passion and Curiosity - Maintaining passion for investment and curiosity for knowledge is essential for continuous growth and success in the field [13]
三位雪球老用户的真实复盘:这一年,我们怎么赚钱、怎么犯错
雪球· 2025-12-20 14:49
Group 1 - The article discusses the increasing volatility in global capital markets and how different investment strategies are performing differently, emphasizing that ordinary investors can accumulate wealth through dedication and market engagement [1] - Three experienced investors shared their practical experiences and strategies at the Xueqiu Carnival, highlighting the importance of adapting investment strategies based on market conditions and personal reflections on past performance [1] Group 2 - The defensive nature of low-risk investments can be assessed through yield calculations, while stock investments should focus on minimizing capital loss by selecting stocks with limited downside and significant upside potential [3][6] - The selling logic for stocks includes both active and passive strategies, with active selling triggered by event-driven changes or slowing performance, and passive selling adhering to strict stop-loss and take-profit rules [6] Group 3 - Reflections on 2025 investments reveal missed opportunities and the importance of decisive action, with lessons learned about the need for independent judgment and avoiding external influences [8][9] - Key investment trends for 2026 include expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, quantitative easing, and the potential for commodity price increases driven by currency fluctuations [10] Group 4 - Ordinary investors are advised to prioritize loss avoidance over daily profit, with strategies focusing on avoiding overvalued stocks, managing liquidity risks, and maintaining a balanced mindset during market fluctuations [16][19] - The article emphasizes the importance of a disciplined approach to investing, including time investment in learning, recognizing personal biases, and focusing on core investment areas [15]