辩证思维
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投资的15条底层逻辑,战略性思维很重要!
雪球· 2026-01-09 07:57
↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 风险提示:本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见,所涉及标的不作推荐,据此买卖,风险自负。 作者: 润哥 来源:雪球 为什么很多投资者学习了很多成功投资者的经验 , 但是实战中依然亏钱 ? 除了要学习价值投资理论 , 我认为投资者底层逻辑也要修改 。 一个人想要改变一个底层逻辑是很难的 。 但是这是必须要做的 。 第一 、 书山有路勤为径 , 学海无涯苦作舟 。 要在学习投资上花时间 , 除了工作 、 睡觉 , 家庭 , 应该把其余所有时间花在学习投资上 。 我 觉得最起码要看过超过100本的价值投资书籍 , 把财务自由放在人生最重要的事情 。 要对理财 , 投资充分重视 , 严肃对待 , 热爱 。 我甚至 认为 , 一个人在财务自由前 , 除了赚钱不应该有其他爱好 。 第二 、 知己知彼百战不殆 。 股市如战场 , 首先要了解自己 , 了解自己的弱点在哪里 , 你的弱点 , 可能会在股市被放大 , 最终因为自己性格 和各方面的弱点在股市亏钱 。 我常说一句话 。 每个人注定要为自己的情怀 、 立场 、 意识形态 、 信仰买单 、 性格 。 很多人把自己的情怀立场 , 意识形态 ...
持哲学思维之钥 启基层党建新篇
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 19:29
转自:中国改革报 □ 于澜涛 基层党建工作是党治国理政的重要基础,其效能直接关系国家治理现代化水平。当前,社会结构深刻变 革,群众诉求日益多元。传统工作方法虽能应对常规挑战,却难以实现从"有形覆盖"到"有效领导"的深 层跃升。因此,做好新时代基层党建工作,关键要以哲学思维赋能实践,创新思路举措、提升履职实 效,切实把党的政治优势、组织优势转化为基层治理效能,不断夯实党的执政根基。 (来源:中国改革报) 基层党建是嵌入基层社会肌体、联动多元治理主体的系统工程。系统思维要求我们将党建工作置于国家 治理、社会发展和人民生活的宏大背景与有机整体中统筹把握。 构建"党建引领—多元共治"的协同体系是基层党建系统推进的核心抓手。基层党组织应成为凝聚各类组 织、调动各方资源的核心力量。例如,在社区治理实践中,通过搭建区域化党建平台,联动驻区单位、 社会组织、物业企业及志愿者团体,以组织共建、事务共商、资源共享为纽带,把党的政治优势、组织 优势转化为基层治理效能,形成各主体良性互动、共同参与的治理新格局。 "分析—协商—转化"的矛盾调处机制是辩证思维在基层党建中的生动实践。面对环境治理、邻里纠纷等 基层矛盾,党建工作应摒弃被动 ...
严格执法与人性关怀是一码事还是两码事?
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2026-01-04 05:50
一张北京国际电影节的票根能解锁30多个商圈、1100多个商户的优惠;一张"苏超"门票可享百货零售、 餐饮住宿、休闲娱乐等专属折扣……小小票根何以成为撬动城市消费的有效杠杆?就在于从对应一个点 到联动多个场景,把各种消费业态串联起来,这是整合为一。 在浙江余姚梁弄镇,同是开发旅游,曾经横坎头村难留客、汪巷村缺运营、甘宣村愁销路,然而一个小 火车项目就串起三村"共富链"。片区组团发展,何以成为乡村全面振兴新引擎?就在于将各村分散的资 源与各自的特色统筹谋划、集成优势,这是聚合为一。 山东蒙阴县百泉峪村通过生态产品总值核算获得4300万元授信额度;北京首创"购绿"机制,七大生态涵 养区获得补偿收益……青山何以有价,绿水何以含金,就在于打通绿水青山就是金山银山的实现路径, 这是转化为一。 一把钥匙开一把锁,避免混淆"两码事",才能把握精准施策的度,激发发展活力。一码归一码,决不盲 目地"合并同类项",这将有助于我们更好解决问题和矛盾。 中国幅员辽阔,各地情况千差万别,城市与乡村、东部与西部、传统产业与新兴业态,资源禀赋和面临 的具体问题迥然不同。将适用于大城市的精细化管理标准,生硬地推行于乡村的田间地头,或将突发应 ...
投资的底层逻辑
雪球· 2025-12-29 08:01
Core Viewpoint - Many investors learn from successful investment experiences but still incur losses in practice, indicating a need to modify underlying investment logic [3] Group 1: Learning and Mindset - Investors should dedicate significant time to learning about investment, aiming to read over 100 books on value investing and prioritize financial freedom [3] - Understanding oneself and recognizing personal weaknesses is crucial, as these weaknesses can be magnified in the stock market [3] - Investors must break free from herd mentality and think independently, as the majority is often wrong in the stock market [4] Group 2: Analytical Thinking - Investors should focus on correlation rather than causation, as establishing cause-and-effect relationships in the stock market is challenging [5] - Utilizing statistical principles is essential, as relying on intuition can lead to poor decision-making; long-term investments are often more profitable than short-term ones [6] Group 3: Strategic and Emotional Considerations - Strategic thinking is vital for long-term investment success, considering broader economic and historical contexts [7] - A stable mindset is more important than high skill levels; emotional fluctuations can negatively impact investment outcomes [8] Group 4: Continuous Improvement and Support - Investors should remain humble and open to learning, acknowledging their imperfections and seeking to improve [9] - Gaining family support for investment activities is important, as societal biases against investors can create additional challenges [10] Group 5: Time Management and Focus - Investors should prioritize important tasks and relationships, avoiding distractions from unimportant matters [10] - Recognizing cyclical patterns in the market is crucial, as all investments are subject to cycles [11][12] Group 6: Passion and Curiosity - Maintaining passion for investment and curiosity for knowledge is essential for continuous growth and success in the field [13]
做好经济工作必须坚持马克思主义世界观和方法论的指导
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-28 20:29
坚持辩证思维,是坚持唯物辩证法思想的必然要求,是我们党治国理政的重要经验,也是做好经济工作 的一个宝贵经验。中央经济工作会议认为,"必须坚持政策支持和改革创新并举""必须做到既'放得 活'又'管得好'""必须坚持投资于物和投资于人紧密结合"。这些重要论述,体现了坚持辩证思维的鲜明 导向,为做好经济工作提供了科学方法。坚持政策支持和改革创新并举,就是要直面老问题、新挑战, 完善宏观经济治理体系,在稳扎稳打中推动高质量发展。在政策支持上,实施更加积极有为的宏观政 策,增强政策前瞻性针对性协同性,坚持稳中求进、提质增效,发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效应,加 大逆周期和跨周期调节力度,提升宏观经济治理效能;在改革创新上,坚持创新驱动,培育壮大新动 能,坚持改革攻坚,增强高质量发展动力活力。做到既"放得活"又"管得好",就是要正确处理政府和市 场的关系,既要充分发挥市场在资源配置中的决定性作用,以有效市场提高资源配置效率,又要更好发 挥政府作用,以有为政府弥补市场失灵,把"两只手"的优势都充分发挥出来,进一步解放和增强社会活 力,确保经济持续健康发展。坚持投资于物和投资于人紧密结合,就是要促进物质资本和人力资本积累 相协 ...
一码事与两码事
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 00:35
着眼全局,坚持系统思维,明晰何为"一码事",才能增加打破局限、点石成金的把握。 一张北京国际电影节的票根能解锁30多个商圈、1100多个商户的优惠;一张"苏超"门票可享百货零售、 餐饮住宿、休闲娱乐等专属折扣……小小票根何以成为撬动城市消费的有效杠杆?就在于从对应一个点 到联动多个场景,把各种消费业态串联起来,这是整合为一。 在浙江余姚梁弄镇,同是开发旅游,曾经横坎头村难留客、汪巷村缺运营、甘宣村愁销路,然而一个小 火车项目就串起三村"共富链"。片区组团发展,何以成为乡村全面振兴新引擎?就在于将各村分散的资 源与各自的特色统筹谋划、集成优势,这是聚合为一。 山东蒙阴县百泉峪村通过生态产品总值核算获得4300万元授信额度;北京首创"购绿"机制,七大生态涵 养区获得补偿收益……青山何以有价,绿水何以含金,就在于打通"绿水青山就是金山银山"的实现路 径,这是转化为一。 (来源:中工网) 一把钥匙开一把锁,避免混淆"两码事",才能把握精准施策的度,激发发展活力。一码归一码,决不盲 目地"合并同类项",这将有助于我们更好解决问题和矛盾。 基层实践中,我们常陷入这样的困惑:严格执法与人性化关怀,是相互矛盾的"两码事",还 ...
一码事与两码事(人民论坛)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-12-25 22:26
基层实践中,我们常陷入这样的困惑:严格执法与人性化关怀,是相互矛盾的"两码事",还是相辅相成 的"一码事"?文明城市与街边小摊,是必取其一的单选题,还是可以兼容并包?这些疑问背后,直指一 个命题:精准区分"本质关联的一码事"与"形似神离的两码事"。 这绝非简单的文字游戏,而是坚持实事求是、避免"简单化""一刀切"的关键所在,也是衡量发展智慧与 治理水平的重要标尺。 着眼全局,坚持系统思维,明晰何为"一码事",才能增加打破局限、点石成金的把握。 中国幅员辽阔,各地情况千差万别,城市与乡村、东部与西部、传统产业与新兴业态,资源禀赋和面临 的具体问题迥然不同。将适用于大城市的精细化管理标准,生硬地推行于乡村的田间地头,或将突发应 急的非常举措,不加调整地常态化推行,其结果必然是水土不服,背后折射的是形式主义、官僚主义的 痼疾。 辩证把握"一码事"与"两码事",理应成为党员干部干事创业的基本功。当诸多事项统一于更高层次的战 略目标时,应视其为"一码事"来协同谋划、一体推进;当涉及具体的方法、路径与操作细则时,又必须 作为"两码事"甚至是"多码事"来区别对待、分类指导。 这意味着党员干部必须沉下身子、深入调研,力戒"想 ...
悟规律 明方向 学方法 增智慧丨以辩证思维做好纪检监察工作
Zhong Yang Ji Wei Guo Jia Jian Wei Wang Zhan· 2025-11-25 00:33
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of dialectical thinking in promoting high-quality development of discipline inspection and supervision work, highlighting the need to address corruption and improve governance through systematic and targeted approaches [4][10][14]. Group 1: Dialectical Thinking in Governance - Dialectical thinking is essential for understanding the internal characteristics and connections of discipline inspection and supervision work, enhancing the systematic and coordinated approach to governance [6][11]. - The integration of "key minority" and "absolute majority" in governance reflects a valuable experience in strict party management, emphasizing the need for higher standards for senior officials while maintaining general requirements for all party members [5][7]. Group 2: Focus on Key Issues - Identifying and addressing key issues and critical links is crucial for advancing discipline inspection work, with a focus on prominent problems in specific sectors such as engineering construction [8][12]. - The article discusses the need for a comprehensive approach to tackle systemic corruption risks, particularly in the engineering construction sector, by enhancing supervision and accountability mechanisms [8][12]. Group 3: Practical Applications and Strategies - The implementation of targeted strategies, such as the establishment of a public resource trading supervision committee and the use of AI models for regulatory efficiency, is highlighted as a means to improve governance in the bidding and tendering process [12][14]. - Continuous education and management of party members are emphasized to foster a culture of integrity and accountability, thereby enhancing the overall effectiveness of anti-corruption efforts [6][10].
本领论 | 坚持两点论和重点论的统一
Zhong Yang Ji Wei Guo Jia Jian Wei Wang Zhan· 2025-11-25 00:33
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of dialectical thinking in understanding and addressing the complexities of both domestic and international environments, highlighting the need for a comprehensive approach to recognize opportunities and challenges in the context of China's development and global changes [2][3]. Group 1: Dialectical Thinking - Dialectical thinking is presented as a crucial method for analyzing contradictions and understanding the development of various phenomena, advocating for a holistic and interconnected perspective [2][3]. - The concept of "two-point theory" is introduced, which suggests that one should view issues from both positive and negative angles, ensuring a balanced understanding of economic conditions [3]. - The article stresses the necessity of recognizing both the strengths and challenges within China's economic framework, emphasizing the resilience and potential for long-term growth despite current difficulties [3]. Group 2: Key Principles - The "key point theory" is discussed, which focuses on identifying and addressing the main contradictions and their primary aspects to drive overall progress [4][5]. - The article highlights the importance of technological self-reliance and innovation as critical areas for advancing high-quality development, indicating that breakthroughs in these areas can lead to broader economic improvements [4]. - The need for a nuanced approach to problem-solving is emphasized, advocating for specific analyses of unique situations rather than applying a one-size-fits-all solution [6]. Group 3: Practical Applications - The article illustrates the application of dialectical thinking in governance, particularly in balancing market forces and government intervention to optimize resource allocation [3]. - It discusses the significance of adapting strategies to local conditions, particularly in developing new productive forces and addressing environmental goals, to ensure effective implementation [6]. - The emphasis on comprehensive and coordinated policy measures reflects the need for a unified approach while considering regional differences in resource distribution and industrial structure [6].
以史为鉴,做生活的智者
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-11-20 22:21
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of wisdom in various aspects of life, from personal conduct to governance, highlighting the historical and contemporary significance of wisdom in Chinese culture [1] Group 1: Strategic Thinking - The book illustrates strategic thinking through Confucius's insights on the relationship between civil and military affairs, using historical examples to demonstrate foresight and preparedness in diplomacy [2] - It discusses the importance of understanding strengths and weaknesses, exemplified by General Li Guang's military tactics, which were effectively utilized by Emperor Wu of Han [2] Group 2: Purpose of the Book - The compilation of the book is driven by respect for scientists and entrepreneurs whose innovations have advanced productivity and societal progress, aiming to inspire readers to become wise thinkers [3]