石油供需变化

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市场继续消化供需变化因素 国际油价5日明显下跌
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 01:59
PVM石油同仁公司分析师约翰•埃文斯( John Evans)说,特朗普针对印度购买俄罗斯石油发出威胁后, 油价有限的波动显示交易商对俄罗斯石油供应出现中断的前景持怀疑态度。特朗普是否愿意冒油价上涨 的风险值得怀疑。 瑞银集团石油分析师乔凡尼•斯汤诺沃(Giovanni Staunovo)认为,石油市场处于稳定之中。这一状态很可 能会继续,直到特朗普在本周晚些时候宣布对俄罗斯的回应措施以及市场作出反应。 美国里特布施同仁公司(Ritterbusch & Associates)总裁吉姆•里特布施(Jim Ritterbusch)表示,仍旧认为最 后可能的情况下是谈判会继续下去,在制裁俄罗斯石油购买方面将缺少重大的行动。 荷兰商业银行分析师表示,美国最近疲弱的经济数据已经重新点燃了对美国这一全球最大石油消费国的 需求担忧。此外,市场参与者很可能把关注焦点日益转向秋季的供应过剩。 荷兰商业银行分析师表示,油价的下一步走势将在很大程度上依赖于特朗普关于购买俄罗斯石油相关制 裁决定。 投资公司Spartan资本证券公司的首席市场经济学家皮特•卡迪罗(Peter Cardillo)表示,欧佩克+八个成员 国决定从9月份把 ...
【环球财经】市场继续消化供需变化因素 国际油价5日明显下跌
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-05 23:48
Group 1 - International oil prices have significantly declined due to market reactions to "OPEC+" voluntary production cuts and potential secondary sanctions on Russian oil purchases [1] - As of the close on August 5, the price of light crude oil futures for September delivery fell by $1.13 to $65.16 per barrel, a decrease of 1.70%, while Brent crude oil futures for October delivery dropped by $1.12 to $67.64 per barrel, a decline of 1.63% [1] - Analysts express skepticism regarding the potential disruption of Russian oil supply, indicating limited volatility in oil prices despite geopolitical tensions [1][2] Group 2 - Concerns over U.S. economic data have reignited worries about demand from the world's largest oil consumer, with market participants shifting focus to potential oversupply in the fall [2] - The next movements in oil prices are largely dependent on President Trump's decisions regarding sanctions on Russian oil purchases [2] - OPEC+ member countries have decided to increase production by 547,000 barrels per day starting in September, which may lead oil prices to drop to new lows, potentially below $60 per barrel [2][3]