硅光光引擎
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天孚通信(300394):物料紧缺短期拖累增速,看好后续光引擎放量
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-11-29 11:33
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][6][11] Core Views - The company is experiencing short-term growth constraints due to material shortages, but there is optimism for future growth as the optical engine products ramp up production [1][8] - The company has strong downstream demand for its optical components, particularly the 1.6T optical engine, which positions it well to benefit from increasing market needs [8] - The Thailand factory project is progressing steadily, with capacity expansion expected to support future growth [8] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 39.18 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 63.63%, and a net profit of 14.65 billion yuan, up 50.07% year-on-year [8] - The company forecasts significant revenue growth, with projected revenues of 3.25 billion yuan in 2024, 5.58 billion yuan in 2025, and 7.93 billion yuan in 2026, reflecting growth rates of 68% and 72% respectively [6][10] - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 2.43 yuan in 2024 to 5.01 yuan by 2027, indicating strong profitability growth [6][10] Market Position and Strategy - The company is a core supplier of the 1.6T optical engine, benefiting from robust demand from major clients, including North American cloud providers [8] - The company is investing in research and development for new products, including the 1.6T silicon photonic engine and CPO scenarios, which opens up long-term growth opportunities [8] - The report emphasizes the company's leading position in the optical components sector and its potential for significant performance recovery once material supply issues are resolved [8]