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云图控股(002539):2025年半年报点评:25H1磷复肥营收稳定增长,持续推动氮、磷原料布局
EBSCN· 2025-09-01 06:48
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company achieved stable revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 11.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.59% [1] - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders was 511 million yuan, up 12.60% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 495 million yuan, an increase of 12.10% year-on-year [1] - The revenue from the phosphate compound fertilizer business grew by 21.6% year-on-year, contributing 7.22 billion yuan in revenue [2] - The company is actively expanding its upstream nitrogen and phosphorus raw material layout, with significant projects underway [3] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised upward, with expected net profits of 1.012 billion yuan, 1.232 billion yuan, and 1.426 billion yuan respectively [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 5.689 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.99% year-on-year and 0.40% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The gross margin for the phosphate compound fertilizer business improved to 15.0%, up 0.8 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company’s other businesses, such as yellow phosphorus and soda ash, experienced mixed results, with yellow phosphorus revenue at 620 million yuan (down 1.5%) and soda ash revenue at 323 million yuan (down 34.6%) [2] Business Development - The company is focusing on strengthening its nitrogen and phosphorus supply chain, with ongoing projects including a 700,000-ton ammonia synthesis project and multiple phosphate mining projects [3] - The company’s phosphate mining resources total approximately 549 million tons, with significant projects like the Aju Luo Xia phosphate mine already underway [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report projects a steady increase in net profit due to product structure optimization and favorable industry conditions, with revised profit estimates for 2025-2027 [3] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.84 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14 [5][12]