1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The Chinese economy shows mixed trends with some indicators like GDP growth and export value increasing, while others such as manufacturing PMI and fixed - asset investment decreasing [1]. - Different sectors in the commodity market have their own developments, including changes in supply and demand in the energy and agricultural sectors, and regulatory actions in the coal and steel sectors [2][7][8]. - The financial market has various phenomena, such as changes in central bank operations, fluctuations in bond yields, and movements in exchange rates [10][19][25]. - Stock markets in China and Hong Kong perform well, with the A - share market rising and market capitalization increasing, and the Hong Kong stock market also showing significant gains [30][31]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro Data - GDP in Q2 2025 (at constant prices) increased by 5.2% year - on - year, slightly lower than the previous quarter's 5.4% but higher than the same period last year's 4.7% [1]. - In July 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.3%, down from 49.7% in the previous month and 49.4% in the same period last year; the non - manufacturing PMI for business activities was 50.1%, down from 50.5% in the previous month but slightly higher than the same period last year's 50.2% [1]. - In July 2025, the year - on - year growth rates of M0, M1, and M2 were 11.8%, 5.6%, and 8.8% respectively. M1 and M2 growth rates increased compared to the previous month and the same period last year [1]. - In July 2025, the export value increased by 7.2% year - on - year, and the import value increased by 4.1% year - on - year [1]. 3.2 Commodity Investment 3.2.1 Comprehensive - In the first seven months of this year, the cumulative increase in social financing scale was 23.99 trillion yuan, 5.12 trillion yuan more than the same period last year; RMB loans increased by 12.87 trillion yuan [2]. - The 188 billion yuan investment subsidy funds for equipment renewal supported by the ultra - long - term special treasury bonds in 2025 have been fully allocated, supporting about 8,400 projects and driving total investment of over 1 trillion yuan [2]. 3.2.2 Metals - The copper inventory on the US exchange has increased for 100 consecutive days, the longest consecutive increase since 1992 [5]. 3.2.3 Coal, Coke, Steel, and Minerals - The Dalian Commodity Exchange adjusted trading rules for coking coal futures, including limiting daily opening positions and adjusting the intraday speculative trading fee rate for certain contracts [3][6]. 3.2.4 Energy and Chemicals - The IEA raised the global oil supply growth forecast for 2025 from 2.1 million barrels per day to 2.5 million barrels per day and for 2026 from 1.3 million barrels per day to 1.9 million barrels per day [7]. - CPC's oil exports in July increased by 3% month - on - month to 6.55 million tons [7]. 3.2.5 Agricultural Products - Malaysia's palm oil exports in July were 1.31 million tons, a 3.82% month - on - month increase, and production was 1,812,417 tons, a 7.09% month - on - month increase [8]. 3.3 Financial News 3.3.1 Open Market - On August 13, the central bank conducted 118.5 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at a fixed interest rate, with an operating rate of 1.40%. After deducting the 138.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchases that matured on the same day, there was a net withdrawal of 20 billion yuan [10]. 3.3.2 Key News - From January to July, RMB loans increased by 12.87 trillion yuan, and RMB deposits increased by 18.44 trillion yuan. Different sectors had different loan growth patterns [11]. - The central bank and other four departments explained two discount interest policies, which are an innovative exploration of fiscal - financial cooperation to boost consumption [13]. - The Ministry of Commerce imposed counter - measures on two EU financial institutions in response to the EU's sanctions on Chinese financial institutions [15][16]. 3.3.3 Bond Market - Bond market sentiment improved slightly, with yields of major inter - bank interest - rate bonds declining, and bond futures closing higher. The central bank's net withdrawal did not significantly affect market liquidity [19]. - Some bonds had price changes, and there were also events such as early redemption and debt defaults [17]. 3.3.4 Foreign Exchange Market - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar closed at 7.1755 on August 13, up 156 points from the previous trading day. The US dollar index declined, and most non - US currencies rose [25]. 3.3.5 Research Report Highlights - CICC believes that the European equity market has strong performance due to internal policy changes, but lacks key elements to create its own "exceptionalism" [26]. - Dongwu Fixed - Income suggests that there is still room for spread compression in some underlying bonds of the science - innovation bond index that are not included in the ETF [26]. - CITIC Securities expects the Fed to cut interest rates three times this year, each time by 25 bps, as US inflation in July was in line with expectations [26]. 3.4 Stock Market - On August 13, the A - share market rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving an eight - day consecutive increase, and the market turnover reached 2.18 trillion yuan [30]. - The Hong Kong stock market also performed well, with the Hang Seng Index rising 2.58% and the Hang Seng Tech Index rising 3.52% [31]. - As of August 13, the total market capitalization of A - shares reached 98.48 trillion yuan, a 14.7% increase from the end of last year [31].