稀土企业估值
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稀土价格指数年内大涨43%,盛和资源预计前三季度盈利暴增7倍
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-10-15 10:34
Core Viewpoint - Shenghe Resources (600392) has reported a significant increase in profits for the third quarter, driven by rising rare earth prices, with net profit expected to be between 740 million to 820 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 696.82% to 782.96% [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company anticipates that the third quarter will be its most profitable, with a total net profit of 800 million yuan for the first three quarters, exceeding most institutional expectations [2][4]. - The rare earth price index, tracked by the China Rare Earth Industry Association, saw a notable increase, reaching a peak of 233 points in mid-August, up nearly 43% from the end of 2024 [2][7]. - Shenghe Resources' net profit for the third quarter is projected to be around 400 million yuan, a 100% increase from the previous quarter [11]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The demand for rare earth products has improved due to changes in market supply and demand dynamics, leading to higher product prices compared to the previous year [1][5]. - The company's business structure, which includes both light and heavy rare earth operations, allows it to benefit significantly from the price trends of rare earth products [9]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts expect that as the company has already met its profit expectations, there may be upward adjustments to its annual profit forecasts by institutions [4][14]. - The company has completed a significant acquisition of Peak Rare Earths Limited, which is expected to enhance its future earnings, with the Ngualla rare earth project projected to contribute significantly to profits starting in 2027 [19][20]. - If the project achieves higher resource recovery rates, there is potential for further improvements in production and cost [21].