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金银遇史诗级风暴 贵金属板块将如何演绎?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-01 15:25
Core Viewpoint - The global precious metals market experienced an unprecedented sell-off, with gold prices dropping over 12% and silver prices plummeting by more than 35%, raising concerns about the end of the precious metals bull market [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - On January 31, gold prices fell from approximately $5400 to a low of $4700 per ounce, ultimately closing around $4907.5, marking a single-day decline of 9.3% [1]. - Silver prices saw an even more dramatic decline, crashing from $116 to around $74, with a maximum drop exceeding 35%, and closing at approximately $85.25, reflecting a single-day decrease of 26.37% [1]. - The A-share precious metals sector had already declined by 8.93% on January 30, with most stocks hitting the daily limit down, and the negative sentiment is expected to continue following the further declines on January 31 [3]. Group 2: Causes of the Sell-off - One of the triggers for the sell-off was the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chairman, which is perceived as a hawkish move that could lead to tighter monetary policy, diminishing the appeal of precious metals as a safe haven [1]. - The sell-off was exacerbated by a chain reaction of leveraged positions being liquidated, as rising margin requirements from exchanges increased pressure on traders, leading to a vicious cycle of selling and further price declines [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Short-term market sentiment remains fearful, with the possibility of continued declines in the precious metals sector [4]. - Analysts from various firms suggest that while short-term adjustments are expected, the long-term outlook for gold remains positive, driven by unresolved U.S. debt issues and a weakening dollar [5].