格隆汇1月7日｜长江证券研报指出，长江电力四季度下游来水转丰，全年业绩展望稳健。整体而言，得 益于下游的丰沛来水，四季度电量实现高速增长，单季业绩展望积极。全年来看，公司发电量实现稳健 增长，同时考虑来水改善的背景下，公司参股投资收益同样有望贡献业绩增量，公司全年业绩有望实现 稳健增长。若按照"十五五"初期2026-2027年预期平均业绩测算，公司股息率将达到3.73%，坚定看好公 司作为稳健红利典范的长期投资价值。根据最新经营数据，调整公司盈利预测，预计公司2025-2027年 对应EPS分别为1.41元、1.44元和1.47元，对应PE分别为19.33倍、18.95倍和18.58倍。维持"买入"评级。 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - The company demonstrated resilient growth in its quarterly performance, showcasing its value as a dividend model [2][6] - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a total power generation of approximately 126.66 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 5.01%, leading to a net profit attributable to shareholders of 13.056 billion yuan, up 14.86% year-on-year [2][6] - The company continues to emphasize high dividend commitments, planning to distribute no less than 70% of the net profit attributable to shareholders in cash dividends from 2026 to 2030, reflecting a strong focus on shareholder returns [2][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 36.698 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.34%, and a net profit of 13.056 billion yuan, up 14.86% [2][6] - The second quarter saw a stable revenue growth of 2.61% year-on-year, despite weaker water inflow in the river basin [2][6] - The financial expenses decreased by 14.93% year-on-year, contributing positively to the profit margins [2][6] Operational Insights - The company optimized its power dispatching, resulting in steady growth in power generation despite challenges in water inflow [2][6] - The second quarter's power generation showed a year-on-year increase of 1.63%, with specific power stations like Wudongde and Baihetan showing significant growth rates [2][6] Dividend Policy - The company has reiterated its commitment to high dividends, with a planned distribution of at least 70% of net profits from 2026 to 2030 [2][6] - The expected dividend yield is projected to reach 3.58% based on anticipated performance in the early years of the 14th Five-Year Plan [2][6]