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平保衍生品佈局:認股證與牛熊證的選擇策略
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-26 13:31
Core Viewpoint - Ping An's stock price rebounded by 1.86%, reaching 57.6 HKD, indicating a relatively stable trend compared to other financial stocks, with a 5-day volatility of 4.6%, suggesting potential value for investors seeking stable returns [1] Technical Analysis - Current technical indicators show a neutral pattern for Ping An, with a summary signal of "neutral" but a signal strength of 11, indicating balanced market forces [1] - The stochastic oscillator is in the oversold zone and has issued a buy signal, while the momentum oscillator and MACD both indicate sell signals, suggesting a potential turning point for Ping An [1] - Key price analysis reveals initial resistance at 59.1 HKD and stronger resistance at 60.3 HKD, with important support at 55.2 HKD and a further support level at 53.3 HKD if it breaks below [3] Derivative Products - For bullish investors, HSBC call warrant 18174 and Bank of China call warrant 18122 offer leverage of 24.2 times and 20.9 times, respectively, both with a strike price of 67.23 HKD [6] - For bearish investors, UBS put warrant 19360 and Bank of China put warrant 19397 provide leverage of 3.4 times and 3.5 times, respectively, with the latter offering a better balance of leverage and implied volatility [6] - In the recent performance of structured products, put warrants and bear certificates showed significant leverage effects during price declines, with Morgan Stanley bear certificate 54282 and UBS bear certificate 52561 recording a 21% increase when the underlying stock fell by 2.23% [3] Market Sentiment - The current stable trend and relatively low volatility of Ping An provide different risk-return characteristics for derivative product investors, raising questions about the potential direction of the stock's breakout [17] - Investors are encouraged to consider the different characteristics of call warrants and bull-bear certificates when selecting derivative products, as well as to share insights and trading strategies regarding Ping An's future market movements [17]
RIVN 經典突破形態,有可能迎來翻倍行情!
LEI· 2025-11-13 00:23
Hello大家好 今天的影片我想來聊一個股票 叫做Rivian 是一個電動車的企業 之所以聊這隻股票 是因為我看到了一些重要的 市場跡象 作為一種很典型的一個類型 我覺得值得拿出來說一說 首先我們還是來先看這家公司的 運營的情況 總體上來說 這家公司上市以來 那股價就是一直在往下跌 從最高大概1000多億市值 現在跌到了只有200多億市值 PS估值 從差不多400多倍 現在跌到只有3.7%倍了 運營的情況上面來看 收入是在持續增長的 應該是一個比較好的一個狀態 經營現金流開始轉正了 這是一個非常好的一個跡象 自由現金流即將轉正 如果說下一個季度能夠轉正的話 很有可能會成為股價的 一個重要的刺激因素 當然了 這家企業本身還是有問題的 因為它的毛利率只有3%點多 毛利率只有3%點多 是一個非常低的毛利率 也就是說它的收入和成本之間的 差距非常小 所以它如果說沒有辦法把成本 再繼續往下降的話 這家公司要盈利非常難 它現在EBIT margin 也就是說運營利潤率 是負的將近-60% 也就是說這家企業處於一個 結構性虧損的狀態 雖然收入很好 現金流開始慢慢開始走正常 但是如果說你的成本降不下來 很有可能你會長期持續 ...