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兴业证券(601377):自营环比延续扩张,经纪业务表现优异
Western Securities· 2025-10-31 11:56
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7][12]. Core Views - The company achieved revenue and net profit of 9.277 billion and 2.521 billion yuan respectively in the first three quarters of 2025, representing year-on-year increases of 40.0% and 91.0% [1][3]. - In Q3 2025, the company's net profit was 1.191 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 46.3% [1][3]. - The average ROE for the first three quarters of 2025 increased by 2.06 percentage points to 4.4%, while the operating leverage, excluding customer funds, decreased by 1.0% to 3.54 times [1][3]. Summary by Sections Brokerage Business - The brokerage business showed strong performance with net income of 2.161 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 64.7% [2]. - The company's market share in stock trading increased by 0.26 percentage points to 1.54%, with trading volume up 64% year-on-year in H1 2025 [2]. - The A-share market's average daily trading volume (ADT) increased by 107% year-on-year, indicating a positive growth trend for the brokerage business [2]. Investment Banking and Asset Management - Investment banking and asset management revenues saw slight declines, with net income of 416 million and 115 million yuan, down 5.8% and 0.9% year-on-year respectively [2]. - The company completed 2 IPOs by Q3 2025, with bond underwriting volume up 18% year-on-year [2]. - The asset management business's AUM grew by 7% year-on-year to 288.8 billion yuan by Q3 2025 [2]. Proprietary Trading and Financial Performance - Proprietary trading continued to expand, with net interest income and investment income reaching 1.244 billion and 3.472 billion yuan, up 41.5% and 55.9% year-on-year [3]. - The company’s financial asset scale increased by 5.1% to 159.162 billion yuan by Q3 2025 [3]. - The forecasted net profit for 2025-2027 is expected to be 3.225 billion, 3.541 billion, and 3.836 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 49.0%, 9.8%, and 8.3% respectively [3].