Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's core business in urban gas is experiencing both volume and price increases, while comprehensive energy services are dragging down overall performance [5] - The company reported a revenue of 28.35 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decline of 8.34%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.46 billion yuan, a slight increase of 1.19% [7] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 7.51 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.48%, but net profit decreased by 15.47% due to reduced profits from smart services and comprehensive energy businesses [7] Financial Performance Summary - The company’s revenue and profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are as follows: - Revenue: 28.48 billion yuan in 2025, 29.02 billion yuan in 2026, and 29.84 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 0.45%, 1.92%, and 2.83% respectively [6] - Net profit: 1.56 billion yuan in 2025, 1.73 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.06 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 6.73%, 11.51%, and 18.55% respectively [6] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.54 yuan in 2025, 0.60 yuan in 2026, and 0.71 yuan in 2027 [6] Business Segment Analysis - Urban gas sales volume reached 4.98 billion cubic meters in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.78%, with significant growth in the Greater Bay Area [7] - The comprehensive energy segment's revenue fell by 27.01% in 2024, primarily due to declining sales prices of photovoltaic films [7] - The company has signed a long-term gas supply agreement with PetroChina for 9.69 billion cubic meters, enhancing its gas supply capabilities [7] Valuation Metrics - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 12.69 for 2025, decreasing to 9.00 by 2027 [9] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to stabilize around 9.36% for 2025 and increase to 10.74% by 2027 [9]