绿电消纳责任权重

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最新绿电消纳责任权重下达!多省、多行业目标超预期
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-07-14 12:43
Core Viewpoint - The newly issued renewable energy consumption responsibility weights for this year have expanded compared to previous years, which is expected to effectively boost the demand for green electricity and green certificates, potentially raising their prices and encouraging local governments to develop renewable energy [1][2]. Group 1: Renewable Energy Consumption Responsibility Weights - The renewable energy consumption responsibility weight refers to the ratio of actual renewable energy consumption to the total electricity consumption in a provincial administrative region. This year, the weights have significantly increased, with regions like Xinjiang, Tianjin, Guangxi, Hainan, and Shandong seeing increases of approximately 5 to 10 percentage points, and Yunnan experiencing a 10.6 percentage point increase [3][4]. - Over half of the provinces have responsibility weights exceeding 25%, with the total national renewable energy consumption estimated to reach approximately 23,000 billion kilowatt-hours this year, an increase of about 4,600 billion kilowatt-hours from last year [3]. Group 2: Industry-Specific Consumption Monitoring - This year's notification includes a focus on green electricity consumption ratios for key energy-consuming industries such as steel, cement, polysilicon, and newly established data centers, with the steel and cement industries required to use 25.2% to 70% green electricity [5][6]. - The electrolytic aluminum industry is the only one formally included in the assessment this year, while the others will be monitored but not assessed, indicating a gradual approach to expanding the assessment to multiple industries [6][7]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Green Certificate Prices - The price of green certificates has seen a significant increase, rising from around 1.5 yuan per certificate at the beginning of the year to over 8 yuan by mid-year, with some transactions nearing 10 yuan. This surge is attributed to a strong demand from buyers and a reluctance from power generation companies to sell [7][8]. - The notification allows provinces to account for their renewable energy consumption responsibility weights primarily based on actual physical consumption, supplemented by purchasing green certificates from other provinces, which is expected to enhance the activity of green certificate trading [8].