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美元多元化策略
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摩通私银:新兴市场资产具备吸引力 建议将三成投资组合配置非美元市场
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 09:07
Core Viewpoint - Recent trends support holding gold and reasonably allocating non-dollar assets in investment portfolios, with emerging market assets being attractive in the current environment and as global economic growth accelerates [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - Morgan Stanley's dollar diversification strategy framework suggests allocating about 30% of the portfolio to non-dollar markets with good liquidity and depth [1] - The recent weakness of the dollar is not due to changes in growth or monetary policy expectations, but rather driven by capital flows and market sentiment [1] Group 2: Economic Outlook - The current situation is seen as temporary, similar to last April, with expectations that the dollar will stabilize as the US economy gradually recovers [1] - When economic growth and interest rates become the dominant factors, the company prefers to take short positions when the euro to dollar exchange rate rises above 1.18 to 1.2 [1] Group 3: Currency Sensitivity - Currencies such as the Australian dollar and emerging market currencies, which are more sensitive to growth, may continue to show relative strength against the dollar [1]