美国财政改革

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万亿“金卡”难填债务黑洞:特朗普的创收豪赌正把美国拖向悬崖?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-06 18:21
Group 1 - The U.S. is facing a significant debt crisis with a national debt of $36 trillion, prompting the administration to implement unconventional fiscal strategies [1] - The "big and beautiful" tax reform plan is projected to provide $3.75 trillion in tax cuts over ten years, aimed at stimulating the economy [3] - The introduction of a $5 million "golden card" program for permanent residency is seen as a potential source of trillion-dollar funding, reflecting the administration's urgency in addressing fiscal pressures [3] Group 2 - Concerns are rising on Wall Street regarding the sustainability of U.S. debt, with prominent figures warning of a potential debt collapse and the risk of a "death spiral" for government bonds [4] - The trade negotiations with Japan involve a proposal to build a rare earth supply chain in exchange for the U.S. lifting tariffs on steel and aluminum, highlighting the geopolitical complexities of trade relations [6] - The U.S. is heavily reliant on China for rare earth refining, with 90% of global capacity located there, making any relief from tariffs through rare earth cooperation limited [6] Group 3 - The proposed tax cuts could lead to an additional $2.4 trillion in deficits, raising questions about the effectiveness of piecemeal revenue generation strategies in the face of soaring debt [8] - The administration's approach reflects a lack of a systematic fiscal reform framework, as evidenced by the disconnect between large-scale tax cuts and fragmented revenue-raising measures [8] - The ongoing dual challenges of debt and trade negotiations showcase the administration's business-oriented mindset, with each policy move reflecting a strategic negotiation approach [9]