Group 1 - The current spot gold price has dropped by 1.63%, falling below $4700 per ounce, while spot silver has decreased by 5.86%, reported at $66.55 per ounce, with a significant drop of over 20% yesterday [1][2] - Market analysts warn that both gold and silver are facing selling pressure in the short term, indicating that the price trends are not bullish [2][3] - The recent sell-off in precious metals is viewed as a market adjustment rather than a trend reversal, suggesting that prices may rise at a stable, non-linear pace rather than explosive growth seen in previous months [3] Group 2 - Analysts from various financial institutions believe that the current bull market for gold may continue for some time, despite potential headwinds, as the Federal Reserve's policies and the U.S. economy have not yet shown signs of a turning point [3] - There are two potential scenarios for the end of the current gold bull market: the Federal Reserve ending its rate-cutting cycle or significant advancements in the U.S. AI revolution that could boost economic growth and lower inflation [3] - Strategic recommendations include maintaining an overweight position in gold and taking advantage of market pullbacks to accumulate [3]

来源：滚动播报 中金研报称，我们认为本轮黄金牛市的终局剧本已经比较明朗，一种可能性是美联储结束降息周期，开 始启动缩表；另一种可能性是美国AI革命取得重大进展，提高经济增长并降低通胀。由于目前美联储 政策与美国经济都尚未出现拐点，我们认为黄金牛市仍能持续一段时间。未来几个月美国增长与通胀上 行，可能仍会打压美联储降息预期，对市场造成一些扰动。我们建议战略上维持超配黄金，利用市场回 调逢低吸纳。 ...