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原拆原建来了,买了老破小的普通人,还有机会“翻身”吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-13 18:11
Core Viewpoint - The recent policy from the central government supports the renovation and reconstruction of old housing, which may present investment opportunities in the real estate market, particularly for old properties in prime locations [5][8]. Policy Implications - The policy aims to shift urban development from rapid expansion to improving existing housing stock, indicating a focus on quality over quantity in urban planning [4][8]. - The initiative is part of a broader strategy to stabilize the housing market, moving away from reliance on population influx for demand [4][8]. Market Dynamics - Successful examples of renovation, such as the transformation of the Zhejiang Gongshang University neighborhood, show significant price increases post-renovation, with prices rising from 30,000 to 46,000-50,000 CNY per square meter [3][6]. - However, not all old properties qualify for renovation; only those deemed dangerous or dilapidated are eligible, limiting the scope of potential investment opportunities [6][7]. Financial Considerations - The financial burden of renovation falls on homeowners, with costs potentially reaching 350,000 CNY for a 50 square meter unit, which may deter participation in some cases [7]. - Local governments rely heavily on land sales for revenue, which may restrict the widespread implementation of the renovation policy, as it could reduce demand for new developments [7][8]. Conclusion - While there are opportunities for value appreciation in core areas with old properties, the majority of ordinary old properties may not see significant benefits due to various constraints, including funding, homeowner consent, and urban planning regulations [8][9].