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恒顺醋业(600305):Q3主业维持稳健增速 盈利能力持续改善
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-07 12:35
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.63 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 140 million yuan, up 18% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 500 million yuan, a decrease of 4.6% year-on-year, with a net profit of 30 million yuan, an increase of 17.7% year-on-year [1] Revenue Breakdown - For the first three quarters, revenue from vinegar, wine, and sauce products was 1.05 billion, 240 million, and 140 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year changes of +7.8%, -9.7%, and +2.3% [1] - In Q3 2025, the growth rates for vinegar, wine, and sauce products were +7.3%, -16.3%, and +11.3%, indicating stable growth in the seasoning product sector [1] Channel Performance - In Q3 2025, offline and online channels generated revenues of 420 million and 80 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -7.1% and +17.4% [1] Regional Performance - Revenue growth rates for various regions in the first three quarters were +21.6% for the North, -12.7% for the East, +15.6% for Northern Jiangsu, +16.8% for Southern Jiangsu, +5.7% for Southwest, and +14% for Central regions, indicating positive growth in most areas except the East [1] Profitability and Cost Control - The company's gross margin for the first three quarters was 37.3%, up 1 percentage point year-on-year, while Q3 gross margin was 34.7%, down 0.9 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Q3 2025 saw a decrease in the sales expense ratio by 1.6 percentage points to 17.2%, attributed to effective cost control measures [2] - The net profit margin for Q3 2025 increased by 1.4 percentage points to 6.1% [2] Future Outlook - The company plans to implement state-owned enterprise reform actions, optimize organizational structure, and enhance marketing incentives [2] - Focus will remain on the "big single product" strategy to promote simultaneous development of vinegar, wine, and sauce categories [2] - There will be an increased effort in channel expansion, particularly in catering and e-commerce [2] Earnings Forecast - The expected EPS for 2025-2027 is projected to be 0.16 yuan, 0.18 yuan, and 0.20 yuan, with corresponding dynamic PE ratios of 52x, 45x, and 41x, maintaining a "hold" rating [2]