Netflix stock could make a run at record highs if it outperforms in October againNetflix Inc (NASDAQ:NFLX) stock is 1.8% higher to trade at $1,236.56 today, heading for its highest close in nearly a month. The streaming giant is up a modest 38.7% in 2025, but could be headed for an outstanding month, if past is precedent.Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White compiled a list of the 25 best-performing stocks in October in the last 10 years on the S&P 500 Index (SPX). NFLX is far and away the bes ...

Core Viewpoint - CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. reported strong earnings on August 27, but the stock has continued to decline due to overvaluation concerns, with a 6.7% drop in the last five days and over 13% in the last three months [3][5]. Financial Performance - The company indicated that its annual recurring revenue (ARR) will not fully reflect the success of its customer retention program for several quarters [5]. - Despite the strong earnings report, the stock's relative strength indicator is around 38, suggesting it may be oversold [5][9]. Stock Performance and Technical Analysis - As of the latest data, CRWD stock is trading around $412, near its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) [9]. - The stock has faced resistance around $430 to $440, with significant support expected around $400 [10]. - The options chain shows bullish positioning, with high volumes in out-of-the-money call options, indicating traders expect a short-term rebound [6][8]. Analyst Ratings and Forecasts - The 12-month stock price forecast for CrowdStrike is $460.10, indicating an 11.27% upside based on 43 analyst ratings [13]. - Analyst targets vary widely, with the highest at $555 and the lowest at $285, reflecting a mixed outlook post-earnings [14]. - The consensus rating remains a Moderate Buy, but top analysts are recommending other stocks over CrowdStrike [16].

Group 1 - Netflix Inc reported a 46% profit increase and a 16% revenue jump for the second quarter, surpassing estimates and raising its full-year revenue outlook [1] - Despite positive earnings, Netflix shares are down 4.5% to $1,217.08, indicating market reaction may not align with financial performance [1] - The stock is experiencing its third loss in the last four sessions and is distancing itself from its record high of $1,341.15 on June 30, although it still shows an 88.4% year-over-year gain [3] Group 2 - Analysts remain bullish on Netflix, with 30 out of 45 analysts rating the stock as "buy" or better, and 15 price-target hikes, including one from Wells Fargo to $1,560 [2] - The stock's 50-day put/call volume ratio is higher than 98% of readings from the past year, indicating increased bearish sentiment among options traders [4] - Today's options activity shows 107,000 calls and 92,000 puts traded, which is seven times the typical volume, with the July 1,200 call being the most popular [5]

Core Viewpoint - Oracle Corp's stock has increased by 2.6% to $178.47, driven by three price-target hikes, including two to $200 from Jefferies and BMO, ahead of its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Sentiment - The stock has experienced a V-shaped rally since its 12-month low of $118.86 on April 7, rising 50% from that point [3] - Despite a 42% year-over-year increase, 14 out of 34 brokerages maintain "hold" ratings, with a consensus 12-month price target of $182.34, indicating only a 2% premium to the current price [3] - Options traders are optimistic, with a 50-day call/put volume ratio of 2.51, placing it in the 86th percentile of its annual range [4] Group 2: Earnings Expectations and Historical Performance - Historically, Oracle's stock has shown varied post-earnings movements, with an average post-earnings move of 9.1% over the last eight reports, and a larger-than-usual expected swing of 12% for the upcoming earnings [2] - The stock declined by 3.1% and 6.7% after its last two earnings reports in March and December, but had previously seen double-digit percentage gains after three consecutive earnings reports [2] Group 3: Volatility and Options Trading - Oracle's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is 95 out of 100, indicating that it has exceeded options traders' volatility expectations over the past year [4]

Core Insights - Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) experienced a 44.3% weekly gain, marking its best week since November, despite a 2.1% decline today amid broader tech headwinds [1] - The stock has risen 48.7% since the beginning of the year, but faces resistance around the $50 level and the 250-day moving average [1] Options Activity - SMCI has seen significant options activity, with over 7 million calls and more than 2.2 million puts exchanged in the past 10 days, making it one of the most popular stocks in the options market [3] - The May 50 call was the most popular option in the last two weeks, followed by the 47 call, while the June 45 call is currently seeing the most activity with new positions being opened [4] Call/Put Volume Ratio - Over the past 10 weeks, call traders have targeted SMCI at the fastest rate of the year, with a 50-day call/put volume ratio of 2.21, the highest reading in the past 12 months [7] Volatility Expectations - Options for SMCI are currently reasonably priced, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVI) of 86%, ranking in the 16th percentile of its annual range, indicating lower volatility expectations than usual [8]

Group 1 - Peloton Interactive Inc reported a fiscal third-quarter loss of 12 cents per share, which was wider than the expected loss of 7 cents per share, but still represents a 73% improvement year-over-year [1] - The company's revenue for the quarter was $624 million, exceeding expectations but showing a decline compared to the previous year [1] - Peloton has raised its outlook for 2025, indicating a positive long-term perspective despite current challenges [1] Group 2 - Following the earnings report, Peloton's stock dropped 13.8% to $6.02, with the stock having averaged a 19% post-earnings swing over the past two years [2] - Year-to-date, Peloton's equity is down 29.4%, and the stock has faced resistance at the $7 level, which aligns with its 80-day moving average [2] - The 14-Day Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Peloton was noted at 80, indicating it was deep in "oversold" territory prior to the drop [2] Group 3 - There is a notable interest in options trading for Peloton, with 65,000 calls exchanged compared to 8,302 puts, resulting in an overall options volume that is 2.5 times the average daily amount [3] - The most popular options are the weekly 5/9 6-strike call and the June 8 call, suggesting bullish sentiment among options traders [3] Group 4 - Over the past two weeks, there has been a significant call bias in Peloton's options trading, with 24,255 calls traded against just 4,447 puts [4]

Group 1 - Roku Inc is currently trading at $69.75, up 2.4%, ahead of its first-quarter earnings report [1] - The stock has shown a history of volatile post-earnings movements, averaging a 16.5% change after the last eight reports, with a current options market pricing in a 20.4% post-earnings swing [2] - Roku is experiencing an eight-day winning streak, reducing its year-to-date deficit to 6.3% after previously trading as low as $52.53 [3] Group 2 - There has been a notable increase in put options activity, with Roku's 10-day put/call volume ratio at 0.53, ranking higher than 85% of readings from the past year [5] - Despite the potential for significant price movements, Roku's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard indicates a low score of 6 out of 100, suggesting it is a prime candidate for premium selling [6]