美元兑加元可能处于"楔形"模式的形成过程中。相对强弱指数(RSI)低于60，该动能指标也显示卖方压 力较大。上行方面，初步阻力位可关注1.3878附近，若能突破可能缓解短期下行压力；下行方面，重要 支撑则关注1.3758水平，若有效跌破该支撑，可能会确认下行趋势的延续，进一步目标看向1.3375下 方。 周二（8月26日）亚盘早盘，美元兑加元最新价报1.3856，涨幅0.02%，开盘价为1.3855。牛津经济研究 院经济学家迈克尔·达文波特表示，核心通胀率依然过于坚挺，加拿大央行官员难以放心降息。 7月份，由于加拿大取消了消费者碳税，能源价格下降，总体通胀率降至1.7%。然而，达文波特表示， 食品、住房和耐用品价格上涨抵消了这一影响，耐用品价格上涨可能反映了关税的影响。他补充说，该 公司预计，随着美加关税争端的成本逐渐转嫁到零售价格，总体通胀率和核心通胀率（目前仍高于 3%）在短期内都将缓慢上升。达文波特预计，加拿大央行将在9月17日维持其政策利率在2.75%不变。 ...

Group 1 - Home Depot Inc (NYSE:HD) has seen a price increase of 2.83%, trading at $407.22, with a price-target hike to $433 from $417, benefiting from a 10.9% quarterly gain and breaking into the black year to date [1] - The company is set to report second-quarter earnings on Tuesday, Aug. 19, with options traders optimistic about continued positive performance [1] - Historically, Home Depot has a modest post-earnings move average of 1.5% over the last two years, with five out of eight reports resulting in upward movements, including a 2.8% gain in February [2] Group 2 - The options market is currently pricing in a larger than usual post-earnings move of 4.9% for the upcoming earnings report [2] - Calls have been favored by traders, as indicated by a 50-day call/put volume ratio of 2.11, which is above 98% of readings from the past year [3] - The Schaefer's Volatility Index (SVI) for Home Depot is at 23%, indicating relatively low volatility expectations and sitting in the 13th percentile of readings from the past 12 months [3] Group 3 - The stock's 14-Day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 76, indicating it is in "overbought" territory and at its highest levels of the year [4]

Core Viewpoint - The gold price remains stable around $3327 per ounce as the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision approaches, with limited bullish potential for gold [1][2]. Market Expectations - The market widely anticipates that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates, with investors closely analyzing the wording of the statement and Chairman Powell's speech for clues on future rate cuts [4][5]. Technical Analysis - Despite a reduction in negative momentum, there is still a risk of further declines in gold prices. The 20-day simple moving average (SMA) acts as a dynamic resistance at $3345 per ounce, while the 100-day SMA provides support at $3250 per ounce [6]. - Key support levels for gold are identified at $3301.90, $3287.30, and $3274.05 per ounce, while resistance levels are at $3345.00, $3361.80, and $3377.15 per ounce [8].

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices are rebounding, driven by concerns over trade tensions and a decline in U.S. Treasury yields, following recent tariff announcements by President Trump [1][2][3][5]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Gold prices have rebounded from a weekly low of $3283, supported by the weakening U.S. dollar and declining Treasury yields [3][5]. - The U.S. Treasury yields have decreased due to renewed economic growth concerns and strong demand for $39 billion in 10-year bonds [6]. - President Trump announced new tariffs on various goods, including a 20% tariff on products from the Philippines and 50% on copper imports, effective August 1 [6][7]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - Gold prices successfully recovered the key 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of $3297, despite briefly testing below this level [12]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently near 48.50, indicating a lack of bullish confidence [12]. - A sustained breakthrough above the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) resistance at $3323 is necessary for a meaningful rebound towards the 21-day SMA at $3346 [13]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The focus is on Trump's tariff negotiations, upcoming U.S. economic data releases, and speeches from Federal Reserve policymakers for new trading signals for gold prices [9]. - Continued weakness in the dollar and low Treasury yields may provide ongoing support for non-yielding gold prices [9]. - If gold prices are rejected at the 50-day SMA, increased selling pressure could lead to a test of the 38.2% Fibonacci support level at $3297 [14].

Group 1 - Netflix Inc has been downgraded to "neutral" from "buy" by Seaport Research Partners due to concerns over its long-term valuation and limited growth potential, particularly regarding advertising and new project launches [1] - The stock has experienced significant growth since mid-2022, with a 45% increase in 2025 and reaching a record high of $1,341.15 on June 30 [2] - The 14-Day Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Netflix closed at 71, indicating it is nearing "overbought" territory, which could signal potential price declines [2] Group 2 - Options traders are increasingly buying puts, with a 50-day put/call volume ratio of 0.87, ranking higher than 98% of readings from the past year, suggesting a growing interest in protective positions [3]

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices continue to decline, dropping below $3,250, influenced by a strengthening dollar and cautious sentiment from the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The recent rise in the dollar is driven by strong buying interest, supported by the Federal Reserve's cautious meeting minutes and a court ruling against Trump's tariffs [4][5]. - The court ruled that Trump's tariffs were illegal, stating he lacked the authority to impose broad tariffs on goods from countries that sell more to the U.S. than they purchase [5]. - Market optimism was bolstered by Nvidia's strong earnings report, which exceeded industry expectations, contributing to the dollar's recovery [6][7]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has broken below the midline, indicating a potential shift in buying interest for gold, with key support at $3,295 being breached [2][16]. - Sellers currently dominate the market, with the next critical support level for gold at $3,230, coinciding with the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) [16]. - If gold closes below $3,230, attention may shift to the 61.8% Fibonacci support level at $3,168, which previously saw a rebound to a two-week high of $3,366 [17][18]. Group 3: Upcoming Economic Indicators - Focus is shifting to upcoming U.S. economic data releases, including the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, which could influence the Federal Reserve's stance and potentially lead to a dollar pullback [10][11]. - Weekly unemployment claims and revised GDP data may provide trading incentives for both dollar and gold traders [12].

Group 1 - Peloton Interactive Inc reported a fiscal third-quarter loss of 12 cents per share, which was wider than the expected loss of 7 cents per share, but still represents a 73% improvement year-over-year [1] - The company's revenue for the quarter was $624 million, exceeding expectations but showing a decline compared to the previous year [1] - Peloton has raised its outlook for 2025, indicating a positive long-term perspective despite current challenges [1] Group 2 - Following the earnings report, Peloton's stock dropped 13.8% to $6.02, with the stock having averaged a 19% post-earnings swing over the past two years [2] - Year-to-date, Peloton's equity is down 29.4%, and the stock has faced resistance at the $7 level, which aligns with its 80-day moving average [2] - The 14-Day Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Peloton was noted at 80, indicating it was deep in "oversold" territory prior to the drop [2] Group 3 - There is a notable interest in options trading for Peloton, with 65,000 calls exchanged compared to 8,302 puts, resulting in an overall options volume that is 2.5 times the average daily amount [3] - The most popular options are the weekly 5/9 6-strike call and the June 8 call, suggesting bullish sentiment among options traders [3] Group 4 - Over the past two weeks, there has been a significant call bias in Peloton's options trading, with 24,255 calls traded against just 4,447 puts [4]