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良品铺子:公司事件点评报告:策略调整利润承压,精益管理持续推进-20250511
Huaxin Securities· 2025-05-11 02:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [5]. Core Views - The company is experiencing pressure on profits due to strategic adjustments, with a focus on lean management to improve efficiency [2][9]. - The introduction of new products is expected to drive revenue growth, particularly in the group buying segment, which saw a 19% increase in revenue [3]. - The company is actively optimizing its store model and reducing the number of underperforming stores to enhance profitability [3][9]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 7.159 billion yuan, a decrease of 11% year-on-year, with a net loss of 46 million yuan, a decline of 126% [1][11]. - The gross margin for 2024 and Q1 2025 decreased by 2 percentage points to 26.14% and 24.64%, respectively, primarily due to price reductions on certain products [2]. - The net profit margin also declined, with figures of -0.69% for 2024 and -2.10% for Q1 2025, attributed to reduced gross margins and increased asset impairments [2]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to launch a new brand focused on "natural healthy snacks" in 2024, which may initially pressure profits but is expected to perform well post-upgrade [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025-2027 are 0.06, 0.19, and 0.29 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 198, 62, and 41 times [9][11].