综合分析认为，2月份，东北、内蒙古中东部、华北北部等部分地区低温雨雪冰冻和雪灾风险较高；华 东、华南、西南等部分地区可能出现高森林火险等级时段；华北、华东、中南、西南、西北等局地地质 灾害风险较高；华东、华南等地部分地区存在干旱灾害风险。 新京报讯 据应急管理部消息，近日，国家防灾减灾救灾委员会办公室、应急管理部会同自然资源部、 水利部、农业农村部、中国气象局、国家能源局、国家林草局等部门召开会商会，对2026年2月份全国 自然灾害风险形势进行会商研判。 ...

Core Insights - The National Disaster Reduction and Relief Committee and the Ministry of Emergency Management have assessed the natural disaster risk situation for January 2026, indicating various regional risks across China [1][2] Group 1: Low Temperature and Snow Disaster Risks - In January, there will be three cold air processes affecting China, with moderate to weak intensity, leading to higher risks of low temperature and snow disasters in northeastern regions, northeastern Inner Mongolia, and western Xinjiang [1] - These areas are expected to experience temperatures lower than the historical average for the same period, along with increased precipitation [1] Group 2: Forest and Grassland Fire Risks - High forest fire risk levels are anticipated in southern Zhejiang, southern Anhui, most of Fujian, most of Jiangxi, southern Hubei, most of Hunan, most of Guangdong, most of Guangxi, western and northern Hainan, western Sichuan, southern Guizhou, most of Yunnan, and eastern Tibet [2] - Specific areas within these regions may experience extremely high fire risk levels during certain periods [2] - Grassland fire risks are notably high in western Sichuan and eastern and southern Tibet [2] Group 3: Geological Disaster Risks - Geological disaster risks are expected to be high in northwestern Hunan, northern Guangxi, eastern Chongqing, northern Sichuan, southwestern Shaanxi, southern Gansu, and eastern Qinghai [2] Group 4: Marine Disaster Risks - The coastal waters of China are projected to experience 4 to 5 occurrences of hazardous wave events in January [2] - Ice conditions in the Bohai Sea and northern Yellow Sea are expected to be lighter than usual, with the maximum floating ice range in Liaodong Bay estimated at 45 to 55 nautical miles, and ice thickness ranging from 10 to 15 centimeters, with a maximum of 25 centimeters [2]

Core Insights - The National Disaster Reduction and Relief Committee and the Ministry of Emergency Management held a press conference on flood safety knowledge, highlighting the natural disaster risk situation in August [1] Group 1: Natural Disaster Risks - In August, all seven major river basins in China have entered the main flood season [1] - High risks of flooding and storm disasters are present in parts of North China, Northeast China, East China, South China, and Southwest China [1] - Significant flooding is expected in certain rivers of the Haihe River Basin and Songliao River Basin [1] Group 2: Typhoon and Fire Risks - It is anticipated that 2 to 3 typhoons will make landfall or affect China, with one typhoon impacting areas north of the Yangtze River [1] - High risks of forest fires are noted in the Greater Khingan Range, northern Xinjiang, and parts of Central and Southwest China [1] Group 3: Geological and Drought Risks - High geological disaster risks are present in parts of western Yunnan [1] - There are risks of high temperatures and drought in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, Jianghuai region, and northern Xinjiang [1] Group 4: Climate Change Impact - The spokesperson indicated that extreme weather events have become more frequent and unpredictable due to global climate change [1] - The current period is critical for flood prevention, characterized by complex and severe flood situations [1] - The summer tourism and outdoor construction activities are at their peak, leading to heightened safety risks [1]