智通财经APP获悉，中信证券发布研报称，民航机队产能释放受新增飞机低引进、发动机检修、航材备 件等因素制约，旺季机队产能利用率愈发临近极限状态，近期公商务需求持续复苏，期待2026年政策端 进一步刺激因私出行，再次强调"重视航司盈利拐点"。三季度大航的国际线客公里收益媲美国内，改变 2015年以来国际线收益水平偏弱的局面，"向远处飞、向国际飞、向新兴市场飞"的策略在低油价、国内 需求弱复苏背景下进一步摊薄单位扣油成本。2025年大航有望实现疫后首次利润转正，成为利润释放周 期起点，继续看好未来两年航司业绩释放。 中信证券主要观点如下： 按图索骥：数观季报挖掘边际变化信号，短期公商务需求持续恢复有望与汇率温和升值共振。 特征之一，根据样本航司公告，国内航司国际线RRPK(客公里收益)媲美国内线，运力倾斜国际远程航 线，在低油价&国内需求弱复苏的背景下，通过运力增投国际远程航线的策略提升飞机利用率、摊薄单 位成本，同时通过提升中转旅客比例增厚座收对收益端贡献的策略或优于单纯囿于国内线客公里收益的 经营策略。 之二，航油成本压力的缓解仍为利润释放重要因素，发动机检修规模及阶段经营策略带来的机队利用率 差异推动单位扣 ...

Core Insights - JetBlue Airways reported a smaller-than-expected adjusted loss for Q2, attributed to cost-cutting measures and a recovery in U.S. travel demand [1][2] - The airline industry is experiencing uneven recovery, with larger competitors Delta Air Lines and United Airlines indicating stable but below-expected booking levels [1] - JetBlue withdrew its 2025 financial forecast in April due to uncertainties from the Trump administration's tariff policies and federal spending cuts impacting consumer travel [1] Financial Performance - For the quarter ending June 30, JetBlue reported an adjusted loss per share of $0.16, better than analysts' expectations of a $0.33 loss [2] - The operating revenue for the quarter was $2.18 billion, while analysts had anticipated $2.28 billion [2] Future Outlook - JetBlue's president noted an improvement in travel demand, with significant increases in bookings made within 14 days of travel and during peak travel periods, a trend that continued into July [1] - The company expects a decline in revenue per available seat mile (RASM) by 2% to 6% in Q3 [1] - JetBlue reaffirmed its 2025 unit cost forecast, projecting a growth of 5% to 7% [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the aviation sector, recommending a focus on specific airlines and related companies [77]. Core Insights - Domestic flight schedules have decreased by 4% compared to 2024, but show a 22% increase compared to 2019, indicating a further easing of domestic supply [7][8]. - International flight schedules are steadily recovering, with plans to restore to 81% of 2019 levels, reflecting a 5% increase compared to 2024 [7][50]. - The overall daily flight schedule for domestic airlines is projected at 17,519 flights, an 18% increase from 2019 [7][8]. Summary by Sections Domestic Market Overview - Domestic flight schedules for the summer-autumn season of 2025 are expected to average 16,081 flights, down 4% from 2024 but up 22% from 2019 [5][11]. - The total daily flight schedule for coordinated airports is projected at 8,041 flights, a 21% increase from 2019 [7][11]. International Market Overview - The average daily international and regional flights are set at 2,487, recovering to 81% of 2019 levels [50][61]. - Specific regional recovery rates include 78% for Australia, 26% for North America, and 95% for Northeast Asia [50][51]. Investment Analysis - The report suggests that external factors such as oil prices and currency exchange rates are improving, which could enhance airline profitability as domestic demand recovers [7][76]. - Recommended airlines include China National Aviation, Spring Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, and others, with a focus on the overall aviation sector's recovery potential [76][77].