Core Insights - JetBlue Airways reported a smaller-than-expected adjusted loss for Q2, attributed to cost-cutting measures and a recovery in U.S. travel demand [1][2] - The airline industry is experiencing uneven recovery, with larger competitors Delta Air Lines and United Airlines indicating stable but below-expected booking levels [1] - JetBlue withdrew its 2025 financial forecast in April due to uncertainties from the Trump administration's tariff policies and federal spending cuts impacting consumer travel [1] Financial Performance - For the quarter ending June 30, JetBlue reported an adjusted loss per share of $0.16, better than analysts' expectations of a $0.33 loss [2] - The operating revenue for the quarter was $2.18 billion, while analysts had anticipated $2.28 billion [2] Future Outlook - JetBlue's president noted an improvement in travel demand, with significant increases in bookings made within 14 days of travel and during peak travel periods, a trend that continued into July [1] - The company expects a decline in revenue per available seat mile (RASM) by 2% to 6% in Q3 [1] - JetBlue reaffirmed its 2025 unit cost forecast, projecting a growth of 5% to 7% [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the aviation sector, recommending a focus on specific airlines and related companies [77]. Core Insights - Domestic flight schedules have decreased by 4% compared to 2024, but show a 22% increase compared to 2019, indicating a further easing of domestic supply [7][8]. - International flight schedules are steadily recovering, with plans to restore to 81% of 2019 levels, reflecting a 5% increase compared to 2024 [7][50]. - The overall daily flight schedule for domestic airlines is projected at 17,519 flights, an 18% increase from 2019 [7][8]. Summary by Sections Domestic Market Overview - Domestic flight schedules for the summer-autumn season of 2025 are expected to average 16,081 flights, down 4% from 2024 but up 22% from 2019 [5][11]. - The total daily flight schedule for coordinated airports is projected at 8,041 flights, a 21% increase from 2019 [7][11]. International Market Overview - The average daily international and regional flights are set at 2,487, recovering to 81% of 2019 levels [50][61]. - Specific regional recovery rates include 78% for Australia, 26% for North America, and 95% for Northeast Asia [50][51]. Investment Analysis - The report suggests that external factors such as oil prices and currency exchange rates are improving, which could enhance airline profitability as domestic demand recovers [7][76]. - Recommended airlines include China National Aviation, Spring Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, and others, with a focus on the overall aviation sector's recovery potential [76][77].