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百隆东方(601339):上半年利润高增,关注美国加征关税影响落地
EBSCN· 2025-08-15 08:06
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 3.59 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 390 million yuan, a significant increase of 67.5%. The non-recurring net profit was 360 million yuan, showing a remarkable growth of 236.3% [5][6] - The increase in net profit despite a decline in revenue is attributed to the company's flexible sales strategies and high capacity utilization rates, which led to a gross margin increase of 5.2 percentage points [6][8] - The company's production capacity is primarily located in Vietnam, which has been less affected by the proposed US tariffs compared to domestic production, enhancing its competitive advantage in the textile manufacturing sector [10] Financial Performance Summary - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.15 yuan per share, resulting in a payout ratio of 58% for the first half of the year [5] - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 improved to 15.2%, with a quarterly breakdown showing increases in both Q1 and Q2 [8] - Inventory levels increased by 10% year-on-year to 4.67 billion yuan, while accounts receivable decreased by 2.3% to 630 million yuan [9] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 600 million, 730 million, and 810 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.40, 0.49, and 0.54 yuan [11][12] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 14 for 2025, with a projected dividend yield of 4.7% based on the closing price on August 14 [11]