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道明证券:第一季度美元将反弹,英镑强势走势料暂歇
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-05 15:46
来源:金融界AI电报 道明证券在报告中表示,主要受美元反弹推动,英镑兑美元GBP/USD近期的强势走势可能告一段落。 分析师指出,英镑此前对美元的上涨在很大程度上源于美元的全面抛售。"从季节性来看,第一季度通 常是美国数据表现较强的时期,我们可能会看到美元兑英镑出现一定程度的反弹。"在英国央行周四以 微弱优势投票决定维持利率不变后,叠加市场对英国首相斯塔默可能面临领导权挑战的担忧再度升温, 英镑兑美元GBP/USD下跌0.7%,至1.3548。 ...
每日机构分析:5月20日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-05-20 11:43
Group 1: Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - Danske Bank has delayed its forecast for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, now expecting the next cut in September instead of June, maintaining a terminal rate prediction of 3.00%-3.25% [1] - UBS anticipates that the Federal Reserve may begin cutting rates in September, with a total reduction of 75 basis points expected for the year [1] Group 2: UK and Eurozone Relations - ING analyst Chris Turner states that the re-establishment of UK-EU relations post-Brexit may provide mild support for the British pound this summer, with upcoming UK inflation data being crucial [2] - Sucden Financial reports that the British pound's rise against the US dollar is attributed to improved UK-EU relations, with a potential further increase to 1.3400 [2] Group 3: Australian Economy and Interest Rates - Citigroup indicates that the Reserve Bank of Australia's stance is more dovish than expected, with potential rate cuts in July due to downbeat economic growth, particularly in household consumption [2] Group 4: Japanese Government Bonds - Japanese government bond yields surged due to poor results from a 20-year bond auction, with the 10-year yield rising by 4.5 basis points to 1.525%, the highest since March 28 [3] - Concerns over demand for long-term bonds have increased, as highlighted by Mizuho strategist Shoki Omori, indicating a potential sell-off spiral in the bond market [3]