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研报掘金丨东方证券:维持峨眉山A“买入”评级,目标价17.28元
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-01-28 07:15
Core Viewpoint - Emei Mountain A is experiencing a recovery in visitor traffic, supported by shareholder rewards during the off-peak season, with expectations for improved capacity [1] Group 1: Visitor Traffic and Shareholder Rewards - During the New Year holiday from January 1 to January 3, 2026, the scenic area received 126,166 visitors, a 20.88% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [1] - Shareholder reward activities from December 1, 2025, to January 31, 2026, excluding statutory holidays, are expected to boost visitor traffic in December and January during non-holiday periods [1] Group 2: Capacity and Long-term Outlook - Improvements in transportation and capacity are anticipated, which will likely enhance long-term visitor traffic [1] - The company continues to provide cash dividends to shareholders, reflecting strong cash flow quality and a commitment to shareholder returns, which also aids in improving capital efficiency and investor return certainty [1] Group 3: Financial Forecast and Valuation - Due to weak revenue in 2025, the company has adjusted its EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 to 0.45, 0.54, and 0.61 yuan, down from previous estimates of 0.63 and 0.69 yuan for 2025-2026 [1] - Based on comparable companies, the target price for 2026 is set at 17.28 yuan, applying a 32x PE ratio, while maintaining a "buy" rating [1]
峨眉山A(000888):客流回暖,股东回馈拉动淡季,运力有望改善
Orient Securities· 2026-01-27 08:49
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 17.28 yuan based on a 32x PE ratio for 2026 [3][10][6]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing a recovery in visitor traffic, supported by shareholder return policies that are boosting off-season performance. Improvements in transportation capacity are expected to enhance long-term visitor numbers [2][9]. - The revenue forecast for 2025 has been adjusted downwards due to anticipated weak performance, with EPS estimates revised to 0.45, 0.54, and 0.61 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][10]. - The company has completed a board restructuring and is advancing its tea tourism strategy, which is expected to provide additional revenue streams [9]. Financial Summary - The company's projected financials are as follows: - Revenue (million yuan): 1,045 in 2023, 1,013 in 2024, 973 in 2025, 1,034 in 2026, and 1,090 in 2027, with a year-on-year growth of 142.3% in 2023, but a decline of 4.0% in 2025 [5][14]. - Operating profit (million yuan): 135 in 2023, increasing to 334 in 2027, with a significant growth of 168.4% in 2023 [5][14]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company (million yuan): 228 in 2023, projected to reach 323 in 2027, reflecting a growth of 256.2% in 2023 [5][14]. - EPS: 0.43 in 2023, expected to stabilize at 0.45 in 2025 and grow to 0.61 in 2027 [5][14]. - Gross margin: 49.7% in 2023, expected to improve to 51.6% by 2027 [5][14]. - Net margin: 21.8% in 2023, projected to increase to 29.6% in 2027 [5][14].