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新和成(002001):业绩符合预期,维生素景气回落,蛋氨酸盈利提升,新材料项目打开未来空间
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance aligns with expectations, with a projected net profit of 3.3 billion to 3.75 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 49.7% to 70.1% [4] - The vitamin market is experiencing a downturn, while the profitability of methionine is improving, and new material projects are opening future growth opportunities [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is expected to reach 23.936 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.8% [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted at 6.51 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.9% [5] - Earnings per share are projected to be 2.12 yuan for 2025 [5] Company Investment Highlights - The recovery of methionine prices is supported by upcoming maintenance at production facilities, while vitamin prices have declined significantly [6] - The company is advancing its new materials projects, including a 3 billion yuan investment in a 100,000-ton/year adiponitrile project and a 7 billion yuan investment in a 400,000-ton/year project [6] - The company is also expanding its fine chemicals segment, with a planned 3 billion yuan investment in a 60,000-ton glyphosate project [6] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report adjusts the profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 to 6.51 billion and 6.965 billion yuan, respectively, while maintaining the 2027 forecast at 8.048 billion yuan [6] - The corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected at 10X for 2025 and 2026, and 8X for 2027 [6]