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红利风格择时周报(1027-1031)-20251103
Core Insights - The comprehensive factor value of the dividend style timing model for the week of October 27 to October 31, 2025, is -0.78, which is a decline from -0.63 in the previous week (October 20 to October 24, 2025), indicating that it remains below zero and has not generated a positive signal [1][6][7]. Model Results - The latest results show that the decline in U.S. Treasury yields and the recovery in analyst industry sentiment have contributed negatively to the dividend scoring. Additionally, the market sentiment has improved this week, but the positive contribution from the net financing factor to dividends has decreased [6][7]. Factor Analysis - The individual factor values as of October 31, 2025, include: - Non-manufacturing PMI for China: -0.12 - M2 YoY for China: 0.83 - U.S. 10-year Treasury yield: -1.40 - Relative net value of dividends: -0.27 - Dividend yield of the CSI dividend index minus 10-year government bond yield: -0.15 - Net financing: -1.32 - Average industry sentiment: 2.40 [12].