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中线转弱但短线趋势尚在,暂维持积极持仓
鲁明量化全视角· 2025-07-27 02:55
Group 1 - The market has shown a continued upward trend, with the CSI 300 index increasing by 1.69%, the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.67%, and the CSI 500 index by 3.28% over the past week [3] - The steel sector has been highlighted as a leading performer, with a weekly increase and a cumulative excess return of over 11% since July [3][5] - The recent infrastructure projects, such as the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project, have sparked positive expectations regarding the economic cycle, reminiscent of the 2008 stimulus measures [4][5] Group 2 - The market is currently experiencing a shift from institutional investment to retail trading, leading to increased volatility in the short term [5] - The recommendation is to maintain a high position in both the main board and small-cap sectors, while being prepared for potential adjustments in the future [6] - The current market dynamics suggest that the core driving variable for A-shares remains the liquidity situation, rather than just fundamental improvements [6]