装机规模

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三峡能源(600905):偏弱电价限制营收 经营业绩有所承压
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-08 00:29
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in total operating revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, attributed to lower electricity prices despite an increase in installed capacity and generation output [1][2]. Financial Performance - Total operating revenue for the first half of 2025 was 14.736 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.19% year-on-year [1][2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.815 billion yuan, down 5.48% year-on-year [1][4]. - Operating costs increased by 16.77% year-on-year, leading to a gross profit of 6.934 billion yuan, which represents a decline of 17.30% [4]. Installed Capacity and Generation - The company added 2.1807 million kilowatts of new installed capacity, bringing the total to 49.9366 million kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 20.7% [2]. - Wind power installed capacity reached 22.9702 million kilowatts, up 17.05% year-on-year, while solar power installed capacity was 25.0955 million kilowatts, an increase of 25.86% [2]. - Despite the increase in capacity, the utilization hours for wind and solar power decreased, with wind utilization hours at 1,146 hours (down 7.80%) and solar utilization hours at 597 hours (down 13.85%) [2]. Generation Output - The company achieved a total generation output of 39.314 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 8.85% [2]. - Wind power generation was 25.061 billion kilowatt-hours (up 8.69%), and solar power generation was 13.911 billion kilowatt-hours (up 10.25%) [2]. Profitability and Investment Income - The company managed to optimize costs, with management expenses down 10.42% and financial expenses down 2.65% [4]. - Investment income reached 0.915 billion yuan, a significant increase of 167.32% year-on-year, helping to alleviate performance pressure [4]. - The net profit for the second quarter was 1.368 billion yuan, a decrease of 15.41% year-on-year, reflecting the challenges in operational performance [4]. Future Outlook - The company has a substantial pipeline of projects, with 13.8178 million kilowatts still under construction as of the end of the first half of 2025 [5]. - Improved weather conditions for wind and solar resources are expected to lead to a marginal recovery in operational performance [5]. - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 are 0.22 yuan, 0.23 yuan, and 0.24 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 19.35, 18.97, and 17.45 [5].
三峡能源(600905):装机规模持续扩张,发电效率及电价制约业绩表现
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-09-03 02:19
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with total revenue of 14,736 million yuan, down 2.19% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 3,815 million yuan, down 5.48% year-on-year, slightly below expectations [7] - The installed capacity continues to grow, but the decrease in utilization hours has led to a slowdown in the growth of wind and solar power generation [7] - The average on-grid electricity price has come under pressure due to changes in electricity structure and increased market transactions, with a year-on-year decline of 9.89% to 381 yuan/MWh [7] - Operating cash flow remains stable, with a year-on-year increase of 1.62% to 8,247 million yuan, despite profit pressures [7] - The profit forecast has been adjusted downwards for 2025-2027, with net profit estimates of 63.83 billion yuan, 74.09 billion yuan, and 80.93 billion yuan respectively [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 30,628 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 3.1% [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to be 6,383 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.4% [6] - Earnings per share for 2025 is expected to be 0.22 yuan [6] - The company's gross profit margin is projected to be 48.7% for 2025 [6] - The return on equity (ROE) is estimated at 7.0% for 2025 [6]