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市场反应剧烈!美国非农数据遭巨幅下修,重塑美联储9月降息预期
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-03 08:10
Group 1 - The July non-farm payroll report in the U.S. showed a significant slowdown in job growth, with only 73,000 jobs added, far below expectations [2] - The revisions for previous months were substantial, with May's job additions revised down from 144,000 to 19,000 and June's from 147,000 to 14,000, totaling a downward adjustment of 258,000 jobs [2] - The unemployment rate increased slightly from 4.1% in June to 4.2% in July, indicating a potential weakening in the labor market [2] Group 2 - The disappointing employment data has raised pressure on the Federal Reserve to reconsider its monetary policy stance, with markets adjusting expectations for a potential rate cut in September [3] - Analysts suggest that the labor market is in a "stalling" state, and the Fed may need to lower rates to address the current economic uncertainties [3] - Despite the weak report, some Federal Reserve officials maintain confidence in the current policy decisions, emphasizing that the disappointing data does not necessarily warrant an immediate rate cut [3]
欧洲央行管委内格尔:量化紧缩对欧洲央行货币政策立场的影响有限。
news flash· 2025-06-23 15:01
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the impact of quantitative tightening on the European Central Bank's monetary policy stance is limited [1] Group 2 - The European Central Bank's current monetary policy remains focused on addressing inflation and economic stability despite the ongoing quantitative tightening measures [1] - The comments from ECB Governing Council member Nagel suggest a cautious approach to adjusting monetary policy in response to market conditions [1] - The overall sentiment indicates that while quantitative tightening is a factor, it does not significantly alter the ECB's strategic direction at this time [1]
欧洲央行行长拉加德重申:央行已做好应对不确定性的准备
news flash· 2025-06-23 14:43
Core Viewpoint - The European Central Bank (ECB) is prepared to address "exceptionally high" economic and political uncertainties, with a focus on maintaining inflation around the 2% target and acknowledging downside risks to economic growth [1] Group 1: Economic Outlook - ECB President Christine Lagarde emphasized that the eurozone's inflation rate is expected to stabilize near the 2% target [1] - The risks to economic growth are still tilted to the downside, indicating a cautious outlook for the eurozone economy [1] Group 2: Monetary Policy Approach - Lagarde stated that the ECB is in a good position to respond to the uncertain environment at the current interest rate levels [1] - The ECB will adopt a data-dependent and meeting-by-meeting approach to determine appropriate monetary policy stances in light of current uncertainties [1] Group 3: Market Observations - The ECB is closely monitoring fluctuations in the commodity markets [1] - Lagarde noted that the weakness of the US dollar, following President Trump's announcement of comprehensive tariffs, has provided an opportunity for the euro to enhance its international standing [1]
欧洲央行副行长金多斯:将逐次会议确定合适的货币政策立场的方针。
news flash· 2025-04-28 13:10
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the European Central Bank (ECB) will determine an appropriate monetary policy stance in a gradual manner during successive meetings [1] Group 2 - The ECB's approach emphasizes a careful and measured strategy in adjusting monetary policy [1] - This indicates a commitment to closely monitor economic conditions before making policy changes [1] - The statement reflects the ECB's ongoing efforts to navigate economic challenges in the Eurozone [1]