三是通胀预期。传统的说法是持有黄金是为了对冲通胀，但是事实也正好相反，全球尤其是发达经济体 已经从疫情后长期的通胀中走出来了。 2025年8月美国居民消费价格同比上涨2.92%，并且已经开始了首轮降息，欧洲已经降息多次，有些经 济体长期通缩，只有日本的通胀有所抬头，但仍然在低位，作为不具有收益的黄金资产，怎么可能对冲 通胀呢？ 关于此轮黄金上涨的原因探讨很多，笔者认为决定此轮黄金价格上涨的主要是两点：一是黄金的国际支 付功能，一是美元仍然过度发行，导致全球的权益资产泡沫和黄金泡沫。 地缘政治风险加剧，美元成为武器，在全球范围围堵削弱相关国家的支付通道和支付能力，让持有美元 储备的国家对美元资产的未来产生担忧。最典型的案例就是西方在俄乌战争爆发后没收其美元资产，并 关闭国际支付通道，这让某些国家的央行可能提前抛售美元资产，购入黄金，这是推动黄金价格的核心 力量。 文/冉学东 国际黄金现货价格于10月8日冲破4000美元关口，最高触及4059美元。最近几年黄金凭借强劲动能持续 上涨，屡屡突破历史新高，涨幅令其他资产难以望其项背，但是有一个资产却跟它的走势非常相关，而 且是正相关，那就是美股。尤其是今年以来，在黄金 ...

Core Viewpoint - Warren Buffett stated that he will not take any actions to manage currency risk based solely on quarterly or annual earnings [1] Group 1 - The company emphasizes a long-term investment strategy rather than reacting to short-term financial results [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company plans to establish production bases in Indonesia and Thailand to enhance its global layout in response to the US-China trade tensions [8] Group 1: Company Overview - Hubei Xiangjiang Electric Appliance Co., Ltd. has submitted its IPO prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, attracting market attention [1] - The company operates primarily through ODM/OEM models, focusing on the R&D, design, production, and sales of electrical and non-electrical household products [1] - The client base includes numerous well-known global brands such as Walmart, Telebrands, and SEB, leveraging extensive industry experience and strong manufacturing capabilities [1] Group 2: Market Performance - The company has been recognized as one of the "Top Ten Kitchen Small Appliances Export Enterprises" by the China Chamber of Commerce for Import and Export of Machinery and Electronic Products for two consecutive years [2] - As of 2023, the company ranks as the tenth largest in China's kitchen small appliance industry with a market share of 0.6% [2] - The company achieved significant export volumes in specific products, such as electric kettles, capturing approximately 21.4% and 32.3% market shares in the US and Canada, respectively [2] Group 3: Financial Performance - The company has shown strong growth in financial performance, with revenues projected at RMB 1,096.965 million, RMB 1,188.321 million, and RMB 1,501.510 million for the fiscal years 2022 to 2024 [2] - Net profits for the same period are expected to be RMB 80.261 million, RMB 121.462 million, and RMB 140.425 million [2] - The revenue growth is attributed to the expansion of the customer base, increased market share, and timely introduction of new products [3] Group 4: Risks and Challenges - The company faces potential risks during the IPO process, including currency risk due to export sales being primarily denominated in USD while costs are mainly in RMB [4] - Despite recording net foreign exchange gains of RMB 14.4 million, RMB 9.9 million, and RMB 16.7 million from 2022 to 2024, future exchange rate uncertainties may adversely affect financial performance [5] - The industry is characterized by intense competition, with numerous participants and significant product homogeneity [6] - New entrants may capture market share through innovative products or lower costs, posing a threat to the company's market position if it cannot continuously improve product quality and reduce costs [7] Group 5: Future Development Strategy - The company's future development strategy includes establishing production bases in Indonesia and Thailand to mitigate risks associated with US-China trade tensions [8] - However, overseas production facilities may encounter risks such as political and economic instability, local labor market conditions, and trade barriers, which could lead to increased costs and delivery delays [9] - The company possesses advantages such as brand client relationships and strong financial performance, but it also faces significant challenges that require careful evaluation of its investment value [9]