贬值交易(debasement trade)
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市场综述:美股股指期货因盈利前景上涨,美元走强
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-06 10:29
Group 1 - Investors are betting on the resilience of the US economy and the continuation of the Federal Reserve's easing policies, which are expected to support corporate earnings and the surge in artificial intelligence spending [1] - The S&P 500 index rose over 1% last week, with current futures contracts up approximately 0.4%, while the Nasdaq 100 index futures increased by 0.6% [1] - Technology stocks led the pre-market trading, with Micron Technology Inc. and Palantir Technologies seeing stock price increases of over 3% [1] Group 2 - Recent private sector indicators show a weak labor market and slowing demand in the US, but these factors do not pose a threat to economic growth, leading traders to believe the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points in October [1] - Analysts expect the S&P 500 index to maintain a robust upward trend due to improving corporate earnings, stable valuations, and continued institutional inflows [1] - Goldman Sachs strategists noted that current market expectations for US corporate earnings are relatively low, with the "Magnificent Seven" tech giants expected to exceed earnings forecasts [1] Group 3 - European stock markets declined, with the French CAC40 index dropping by as much as 2.1% amid new political turmoil [1] - The US government shutdown has prompted investors to shift towards safe-haven assets, leading to a trend referred to as "debasement trade" [1] - Gold prices surpassed $3,900 per ounce, reaching a new historical high, while Bitcoin also achieved a record high over the weekend [1]