12月17日，经历了数十年来最强劲的增长周期后，黄金与白银的投资者正站在一个十字路口。GTC泽汇 资本认为，当前贵金属市场可能正进入本轮周期中最具影响力的阶段，其产生的结果将决定2026年甚至 更长周期内的投资回报率。 根据资深技术分析模型显示，自2015年至2016年低点启动的这轮金银牛市已接近"下半场"的尾声。虽然 价格在未来数月仍有进一步冲高的潜力，但GTC泽汇资本表示，投资者应保持清醒，为最早可能于明年 开启的多年期大幅回调做好心理与仓位上的准备。这种转变并非由于短期因素波动，而是一个长达十年 的长期上升周期正趋于衰竭。 在具体的价格路径分析上，黄金目前在每盎司4300美元上方获得了一定支撑。GTC泽汇资本认为，短期 内的走势将取决于4383美元这一关键阻力位的博弈。只要该压力位未能有效突破，金价可能会面临一次 深度的回撤，甚至不排除重新测试3800美元支撑区域的可能。然而，这种回撤在周期彻底结束前，可能 被视为最后一次"上车"的良机。 如果金价能成功突破当前阻力，其目标位可能会向5000美元的心理大关靠拢。但GTC泽汇资本表示，即 便冲高至此，随之而来的也极有可能是长达数年的修正期，价格最终可能回撤 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant rise in gold and silver prices, indicating a potential bullish trend in the precious metals market [3][5][6] - Gold reached a peak of 3452 before retracting to around 3435, while silver has seen a 2.14% increase, returning to levels not seen since 2011 [3][5] - The article suggests that the current market dynamics, particularly during the non-farm payroll week, could lead to further upward momentum in gold prices [5][6] Group 2 - Technical analysis indicates that gold's recent performance is characterized by a series of upward movements, with a notable four-day consecutive rise [5][6] - The article mentions a potential target for gold prices around 354X based on recent technical patterns, suggesting a strong bullish sentiment [8] - The importance of monitoring key price levels, such as the previous high of 3452 and the support range of 3422-28, is emphasized for future trading strategies [8]