Core Viewpoint - The recent adjustment in domestic fuel prices marks the second-largest increase in 2025, driven by rising international oil prices due to geopolitical tensions, particularly the military actions between Israel and Iran [2][4]. Price Adjustment Details - Effective from June 17, 2025, domestic gasoline and diesel prices will increase by 260 yuan and 255 yuan per ton, respectively [3][4]. - The price adjustments result in an increase of approximately 0.19 to 0.22 yuan per liter for various grades of gasoline and diesel [3]. Market Trends - This adjustment is the twelfth price change in 2025, with a pattern of five increases, five decreases, and two periods of no change observed [4]. - Year-to-date, gasoline and diesel prices have decreased by 330 yuan and 315 yuan per ton, respectively, compared to the beginning of the year [4]. Impact on Consumers - The price increase will raise fuel costs for private car owners and logistics companies, with estimates suggesting an additional 10 yuan for filling a standard 50L tank and an increase of 1.5 yuan per 100 kilometers for average vehicles [4]. - For heavy-duty trucks, the cost increase is estimated at 8.8 yuan per 100 kilometers, significantly impacting logistics expenses [4]. International Oil Price Dynamics - The recent surge in international oil prices is attributed to escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict between Israel and Iran, which has raised concerns about supply risks [5][6]. - As of June 12, 2025, WTI crude oil prices rose to 72.98 USD per barrel, reflecting a 7.26% increase, while Brent crude reached 74.23 USD per barrel, up 7.02% [6]. Future Price Expectations - Analysts predict a high likelihood of further price increases in the next adjustment cycle, with expectations of a 290 yuan per ton increase based on current trends [8][9]. - Despite potential short-term fluctuations, the overall sentiment remains that international oil prices will maintain a strong upward trend due to ongoing geopolitical uncertainties [9].