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金油神策:5.12黄金、原油开盘操作建议、走势分析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-11 15:14
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The recent neutral trend in gold prices is attributed to the Federal Reserve's stance on not rushing to cut interest rates, as the US economy remains relatively stable with ongoing inflation risks [1] - Market expectations suggest that the Federal Reserve may lower interest rates in the summer, but bullish momentum in gold has shifted to a "wait-and-see" mode [1] - Gold prices have stalled twice around the $3,400 per ounce level, indicating potential weakness in the short-term upward trend [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - Short-term gold prices are expected to fluctuate within the $3,260 to $3,360 range, with potential testing of the $3,260 support level if negotiations among major economies yield positive results [1] - Conversely, if negotiations stall or tensions escalate, gold prices may challenge the $3,400 resistance level, with a breakthrough targeting $3,500 [1] - The current price action shows gold in a triangular consolidation pattern, with the effectiveness of the support level needing further confirmation [1] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - The international oil market has ended its previous volatile pattern, with both benchmark crude oil prices experiencing significant weekly gains driven by trade policy expectations [3] - The positive outlook is supported by the US-UK agreement and the prospects of US-China meetings, alongside improved import and export data from China [3] - Oil prices rebounded from the $60.0 mark, with recent trading pushing prices above $61.0, indicating a potential bullish trend [3] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Oil - The recent price action shows a bullish signal with the MACD indicator forming a golden cross, suggesting a potential upward trend in the short term [3] - Key resistance for oil prices is noted at $62.2, while support is identified at $60.0 [3] - The current trading price for WTI crude oil is around $61.0 [3]