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ETF日报:从大周期角度而言,芯片国产化自主可控仍是发展主线,可关注半导体设备ETF
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-07-23 12:53
Market Overview - A-shares experienced a slight increase with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.01% to 3582.30 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.37% and the ChiNext Index remained flat [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.86 trillion yuan, a decrease of 28.4 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Semiconductor equipment, chips, finance, and healthcare sectors led the gains, while sectors related to anti-involution and the Yarlung Tsangpo River project, such as building materials, infrastructure, photovoltaic, and coal, saw declines [1] Hong Kong Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market showed strong performance, with the Hong Kong Technology ETF (513020) rising by 2.02% in a single day and a 20-day increase of 7.73%, closely mirroring the A-share indices but with greater magnitude [1] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 ETF (159712) also saw a daily increase of 1.45% and a 20-day increase of 3.37% [1] Liquidity and Investment Trends - The strong performance of the Hong Kong stock market is closely linked to the current liquidity situation, characterized by a low domestic interest rate environment and a scarcity of high-return assets, leading to significant inflows of domestic capital into undervalued Hong Kong stocks [3] - The People's Bank of China continues to maintain a loose liquidity stance, with M2 reaching 330 trillion yuan, 2.4 times the GDP, indicating a strong demand for asset allocation [3] Sector Analysis - The recent rally in the Hong Kong market is driven by two main factors: a strong rebound in the internet sector and the simultaneous catalysis of anti-involution and water-electricity trends affecting both A and H shares, benefiting sectors like building materials and construction [4] - The semiconductor sector showed strong performance, with the Semiconductor Equipment ETF (159516) rising by 2.46% and the Chip ETF (512760) increasing by 0.78% [7] Semiconductor Industry Insights - Global and domestic semiconductor sales have shown significant increases, with domestic sales in May rising by 20.5% year-on-year, driven by strong demand for AI chips [9] - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) reported record high revenue and net profit in Q2, with net profit increasing by 61%, exceeding analyst expectations [9][11] - The long-term trend towards domestic chip production remains a key focus, despite potential risks associated with reliance on foreign technology [12]