Sempra (NYSE:SRE) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET Company ParticipantsAllen Nye - CEOJeff Martin - Chairman and CEOKaren Sedgwick - EVP and CFOLouise Bick - VP of Investor RelationsShar Pourreza - Managing Director and Head of North American Power, Infrastructure and UtilitiesConference Call ParticipantsAidan Kelly - Equity Research AnalystAnthony Crowdell - Managing Director and Senior Equity Research AnalystCarly Davenport - VP and Equity Research AnalystDavid Arcaro - Executive Direct ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2025, GAAP earnings were $352 million or $0.54 per share, down from $665 million or $1.04 per share in Q4 2024. Full year 2025 GAAP earnings were $1,796 million or $2.75 per share, compared to $2,817 million or $4.42 per share in 2024. Adjusted earnings for Q4 2025 were $841 million or $1.28 per share, down from $960 million or $1.50 per share in Q4 2024. Full year 2025 adjusted earnings were $3,066 million or $4.69 per share, up from $2,969 million or $4.65 per share in 2024 [8][9][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sempra Texas reported $80 million higher equity earnings due to increased invested capital and customer growth, while Sempra California saw a $213 million decrease primarily from lower income tax benefits and higher net interest expense. Sempra Infrastructure had $123 million in higher asset and supply optimization results [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sempra's capital plan for 2026-2030 totals $65 billion, a 17% increase from the previous year, with 95% targeted for utility investments. The projected rate base is expected to grow from $57 billion in 2025 to $97 billion in 2030, reflecting an 11% CAGR [12][14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company introduced five value creation initiatives aimed at simplifying the business model, mitigating risk, and improving financial strength. Key initiatives include prioritizing utility investments, highlighting LNG franchise value, simplifying the business, executing cost structure reductions, and enhancing community safety [4][5][6][7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving a strong growth trajectory through 2030, with adjusted EPS guidance for 2026 set at $4.80-$5.30 and for 2030 at $6.70-$7.50. The company aims to maintain a strong balance sheet and investment-grade credit ratings, with regulated earnings expected to comprise approximately 95% of total earnings by 2027 [18][20][21] Other Important Information - The company plans to close a significant transaction involving a 45% stake in SI Partners for $10 billion, which is expected to enhance shareholder value and improve financial metrics. Additionally, the company is focused on capital recycling and efficient financing strategies [5][16][20][21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on 2023 guidance and growth expectations - Management indicated that the $9 billion upside opportunities could help achieve the upper end of the 2030 guidance, emphasizing improved quality and certainty of future earnings and cash flows [25][26] Question: Insights on California's earnings growth - Management noted that earnings growth in California is impacted by approved attrition from the last GRC and ongoing efforts to improve efficiencies [30][31] Question: Overview of the 2028-2030 growth shaping - Management explained that growth is expected to be more linear, driven by rate base growth and the Unified Tracker Mechanism (UTM) [36] Question: Timeline for $9 billion upside at Oncor - Management stated that the $9 billion upside opportunities are expected to materialize around 2028-2030, with ongoing efforts to secure regulatory approvals [39][40] Question: Data center pipeline and construction challenges - Management confirmed that data center demand remains strong, with ongoing projects and efforts to meet large load customer needs despite potential supply chain challenges [78][81]

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Core Viewpoint - The CEO of the Dutch International indicated that the capital plan for 2025 may slow down the pace of share buybacks [1] Group 1 - The potential slowdown in share buybacks is a significant consideration for investors and stakeholders [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The first quarter operating loss was greater than the combined loss of the legacy companies in 2024, but only slightly above expectations in the operating plan, consistent with off-season investments [6][14][15] - First quarter attendance represented approximately 5.5% of full year attendance, and revenues were closer to 6%, lower than the historical expectation of 7% [15][46][47] - The company maintains its full year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $1,080 million to $1,120 million [23][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Attendance trends in April showed a slight increase of over 1% compared to the prior year, despite adverse weather conditions [17] - Per capita spending improved in April, indicating a positive trend as attendance levels increased [18][60] - Season pass sales narrowed the gap to prior year by approximately 2% in units sold and 3% in total sales [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Bookings at resort properties trended higher, up more than 10% compared to the same week last year, indicating strong consumer engagement [8] - The company expects to add 36 additional operating days in the second quarter, which should enhance attendance and revenue opportunities [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing its merger integration plan, optimizing cost structures, and enhancing guest experiences to drive demand [10][26] - Plans to close the Maryland parks after the 2025 season align with the strategy to simplify operations and focus on high-margin parks [27][28] - The capital strategy remains disciplined, with expected investments of approximately $1 billion for 2025 and 2026 [29][30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains confident in achieving the 2025 performance goals despite economic uncertainties, supported by strong demand indicators [10][62] - The company is actively monitoring consumer behavior and has seen resilience in spending on entertainment options [9][60] - Management emphasized the importance of cost management and anticipates a reduction in operating costs and expenses by more than 3% this year [22][84] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with $62 million in cash and $179 million available under its revolving credit facility, indicating strong liquidity [24] - The company incurred $15 million in non-recurring merger-related integration costs during the first quarter [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: How do you expect attendance and sales growth in the second quarter to compare to the additional operating days? - Management believes the second and third quarters present higher margin opportunities and expects strong demand during these periods [35][36] Question: Can you quantify the attendance impact from the Easter and Boysenberry Festival shifts? - Management noted that weather impacted attendance, estimating a loss of approximately 175,000 visits in April, but expects to recover in the second quarter [37][38] Question: What gives you confidence to maintain guidance despite softer April performance? - Management highlighted strong demand indicators, including season pass sales and attendance at parks despite adverse weather [56][60] Question: What are the expectations for proceeds from land sales in Maryland? - Management indicated that gross proceeds from land sales could exceed a couple of hundred million dollars, contributing to deleveraging efforts [66] Question: How is the unification of the season pass selling strategy progressing? - Management reported positive trends in sales and emphasized the importance of harmonizing ticketing systems across the portfolio [69][72]