Core Viewpoint - The Shenzhen Municipal Bureau of Commerce announced the cessation of the 2025 automobile replacement subsidy policy due to the budget cap being reached, with the application platform closing on November 30, 2025 [3][5]. Group 1: Policy Details - The subsidy program was designed to encourage consumers to trade in their old vehicles for new energy vehicles or fuel vehicles that meet the National VI emission standards, offering subsidies of 12,000 RMB for fuel vehicles and 13,000 RMB for new energy vehicles priced between 150,000 RMB and 250,000 RMB [4]. - The policy aimed to promote the replacement of approximately 160,000 vehicles by the end of 2025, alongside significant sales in home appliances and digital products [5]. Group 2: Market Response - The subsidy policy received a strong market response, with the budget being quickly exhausted, leading to additional funding being allocated [5]. - As of October 22, 2025, over 10 million applications for the automobile replacement subsidy had been submitted nationwide, with more than 340,000 for scrapping and over 660,000 for replacement [5]. Group 3: Regional Developments - Several provinces and cities across China have suspended their long-term special bond subsidy policies for automobile replacement, including Hunan, Henan, and Jiangsu [5]. - In response to the withdrawal of national subsidies, some local governments, such as Lanzhou and Zhengzhou, have introduced supplementary measures to enhance subsidies and stimulate automobile consumption [5]. Group 4: Future Implications - Starting January 1, 2026, the long-standing full exemption from vehicle purchase tax for new energy vehicles will shift to a 50% reduction, increasing the cost of purchasing these vehicles and impacting market competition [6]. - This transition indicates that the Chinese new energy vehicle industry is moving from a policy-driven phase to one driven by market forces [6].