Core Insights - The report indicates that China's current account is expected to maintain a reasonable balance in the second half of 2025, with cross-border investment and financing likely to improve steadily [1] Group 1: Foreign Exchange Market and Debt - As of June 2025, China's total external debt was $2.4368 trillion, a slight decrease of 0.6% from March 2025, with a stable scale and currency structure [1][4] - The report highlights that China's foreign financial assets and liabilities exceeded $11 trillion and $7.2 trillion respectively, resulting in a net foreign asset of $3.8 trillion, which grew by 16% compared to the end of 2024 [4] - The proportion of domestic currency debt remained stable at 52.1%, while the share of medium- and long-term debt increased by 0.2 percentage points to 42.4% [4] Group 2: Trade Performance - In the first half of 2025, China's current account surplus was $294.1 billion, remaining within a reasonable range, with total goods trade imports and exports increasing by 2% year-on-year [2] - Goods exports reached $1.7 trillion, a 7% increase year-on-year, while imports were $1.2 trillion, down 4% year-on-year [2] - Service trade showed robust growth, with total service imports and exports rising by 6% year-on-year, and travel income increasing by 42% to $24.3 billion, marking a historical high for the same period [2][3] Group 3: Future Outlook and Policy Directions - The report anticipates that external economic conditions will remain complex, with potential pressures from trade protectionism and geopolitical conflicts [5] - The foreign exchange management department plans to expand reforms and facilitate cross-border trade and investment, including optimizing foreign exchange settlement for new foreign trade entities [6] - Measures will be taken to enhance monitoring of cross-border capital flows and maintain the stability of the foreign exchange market, while also combating illegal cross-border financial activities [6]