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【宏观经济】一周要闻回顾(2025年12月3日-12月9日)
乘联分会· 2025-12-10 08:39
Core Viewpoint - China's service trade showed steady growth in the first ten months of 2025, with a total import and export value of 65,844.3 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.5% [5] Group 1: Service Trade Development - The total service trade export reached 29,090.3 billion yuan, growing by 14.3%, while imports amounted to 36,754 billion yuan, increasing by 2.6% [5] - The service trade deficit narrowed to 7,663.7 billion yuan, a decrease of 2,693.9 billion yuan compared to the previous year [5] - Knowledge-intensive service trade maintained growth, with a total import and export value of 25,121.5 billion yuan, up by 6.4% [5] - Travel service exports experienced rapid growth, with a total of 18,125.4 billion yuan, marking an increase of 8.5%, including a 52.5% rise in exports [5] Group 2: Transportation Investment - In the first ten months, transportation fixed asset investment reached 2.95 trillion yuan, driven by major transportation projects [7] - The freight volume showed steady growth, with a total of 48.29 billion tons, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.5% [7] - Port cargo throughput continued to grow, reaching 15.13 billion tons, an increase of 4.3% [7] Group 3: Goods Trade Overview - In the first eleven months, China's goods trade total value reached 41.21 trillion yuan, growing by 3.6% year-on-year [9] - Exports amounted to 24.46 trillion yuan, increasing by 6.2%, while imports were 16.75 trillion yuan, with a slight growth of 0.2% [9] - The trade with ASEAN countries grew by 8.5%, making it China's largest trading partner, while trade with the EU increased by 5.4% [11] Group 4: Trade Characteristics - General trade and processing trade both saw growth, with general trade reaching 26.04 trillion yuan, up by 2.1% [10] - Private enterprises' trade increased by 7.1%, accounting for 57.1% of total foreign trade [13] - Mechanical and electrical products constituted over 60% of exports, with significant growth in integrated circuits (25.6%) and automobiles (17.6%) [14]
下一步,贸易强国
清华金融评论· 2025-12-09 01:15
国务院研究室主任沈丹阳在人民日报发表署名文章《推动贸易创新发展(学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神)》 指出,"十五五"时期,我国 外贸既面临诸多挑战,也面临重要机遇,创新发展是战胜挑战、赢得机遇的关键之举。我们要深入学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神,坚持 和加强党对外贸工作的全面领导,坚持开放引领、创新驱动、改革突破,坚定不移推动贸易创新发展,进一步夯实贸易产业基础、壮大贸易 发展动力、增强贸易发展活力,促进外贸提质增效,加快建设贸易强国。 以下为原文: 推动贸易创新发展(学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神) 沈丹阳 《人民日报》(2025年12月09日 第 09 版) 党的二十届四中全会通过的《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》,强调"推动贸易创新发展"。这是以习近平 同志为核心的党中央统筹国内国际两个大局作出的重大战略部署,为今后一个时期进一步扩大高水平对外开放、加快建设贸易强国指明了前 进方向,提供了根本遵循。我们要认真学习领会,全面贯彻落实。 一、充分认识推动贸易创新发展的重大意义 "十四五"时期,我国外贸稳中有进,进出口结构持续优化,贸易大国地位进一步巩固。"十五五"时期是我国基本实 ...
11月中国进出口同比增速回升至4.1%
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-12-08 06:04
11月中国进出口同比增速回升至4.1% 本文为转载内容,授权事宜请联系原著作权人 中新社北京12月8日电 (记者 尹倩芸)中国海关总署8日公布的最新数据显示,今年11月份,中国货物贸 易增速回升,进出口总值3.9万亿元(人民币,下同),同比增长4.1%。其中,出口2.35万亿元,同比增长 5.7%;进口1.55万亿元,同比增长1.7%。 今年前11个月,中国货物贸易进出口总值41.21万亿元,同比增长3.6%。其中,出口24.46万亿元,同比 增长6.2%;进口16.75万亿元,同比增长0.2%。 分区域看,前11个月,东盟为中国第一大贸易伙伴,中国与东盟贸易总值6.82万亿元,同比增长8.5%。 欧盟为中国第二大贸易伙伴,中国与欧盟贸易总值5.37万亿元,同比增长5.4%。美国为中国第三大贸易 伙伴,中国与美国贸易总值3.69万亿元,同比下降16.9%。 同期,中国对共建"一带一路"国家合计进出口21.33万亿元,同比增长6%。 分产品看,前11个月,中国出口集成电路1.29万亿元,同比增长25.6%;出口汽车8969.1亿元,同比增 长17.6%。 进口方面,前11个月,中国进口铁矿砂11.39亿吨,同比 ...
X @外汇交易员
外汇交易员· 2025-12-08 03:04
海关总署:2025年11月,中国货物贸易进出口总值3.9万亿元,同比增长4.1%,比上月加快4个百分点。截至11月份,货物贸易进出口已连续10个月保持同比增长。从累计看,今年前11个月,进出口总值为41.21万亿元,同比增长3.6%,增速与前10个月持平。 ...
【宏观经济】一周要闻回顾(2025年11月5日-11月12日)
乘联分会· 2025-11-12 08:53
Core Viewpoint - In the first ten months of 2025, China's goods trade maintained a steady growth trend, with a total import and export value of 37.31 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.6% year-on-year, driven by exports and stable imports [5][6]. Group 1: Trade Performance - The total export value reached 22.12 trillion yuan, growing by 6.2%, while imports were 15.19 trillion yuan, remaining stable compared to the previous year [5]. - In October 2025, the total trade value was 3.7 trillion yuan, showing a slight increase of 0.1%, with exports at 2.17 trillion yuan, down by 0.8%, and imports at 1.53 trillion yuan, up by 1.4%, marking five consecutive months of growth in imports [5]. Group 2: Trade Composition - General trade and processing trade both saw growth, with general trade imports and exports at 23.64 trillion yuan (up 2.3%) and processing trade at 6.94 trillion yuan (up 6.5%) [5]. - The ASEAN region became China's largest trading partner, with trade totaling 6.18 trillion yuan (up 9.1%), followed by the EU at 4.88 trillion yuan (up 4.9%), and the US at 3.38 trillion yuan (down 15.9%) [6]. Group 3: Enterprise Contributions - Private enterprises contributed significantly, with imports and exports totaling 21.28 trillion yuan (up 7.2%), accounting for 57% of total foreign trade [7]. - Foreign-invested enterprises had a trade value of 10.91 trillion yuan (up 2.9%), while state-owned enterprises saw a decline to 5.04 trillion yuan (down 8.1%) [7]. Group 4: Export Products - Mechanical and electrical products accounted for over 60% of exports, with a total value of 13.43 trillion yuan (up 8.7%) [7]. - Notable growth was observed in integrated circuits (up 24.7% to 1.16 trillion yuan) and automobiles (up 14.3% to 798.39 billion yuan) [7]. Group 5: Import Trends - Major commodity import prices fell, with iron ore imports at 1.03 billion tons (up 0.7%) and crude oil at 471 million tons (up 3.1%), both experiencing price declines of 10.7% and 12.1% respectively [8]. - The import value of mechanical and electrical products increased to 6.05 trillion yuan (up 5.5%) [8].
爱沙尼亚9月份货物贸易进出口总额同比增长5.6%
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-11-11 15:59
Core Insights - Estonia's total goods trade import and export value reached €3.46 billion in September 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 5.6% [1] - Exports amounted to €1.58 billion, up 4.5% year-on-year, while imports were €1.88 billion, reflecting a 6.5% increase [1] - The trade deficit stood at approximately €290 million, an increase of €46 million compared to the same period last year [1] Export and Import Breakdown - The largest export category in September 2025 was electrical equipment, accounting for 15% of total exports, remaining stable year-on-year [1] - Agricultural products and food exports represented 13% of total exports, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 22% [1] - Wood and wood products exports made up 11.4% of total exports, with a year-on-year increase of 7% [1] - The primary import category was agricultural products and food, which constituted 13% of total imports, with a year-on-year growth of 12% [1] - Electrical equipment and transport equipment accounted for 12.7% and 12.6% of imports, respectively, with declines of 5% and 4% year-on-year [1] - Mineral products represented 10% of total imports, showing a year-on-year increase of 13% [1] Trade Partners - In September 2025, Estonia exported €1.22 billion to EU member states, a year-on-year increase of 11%, making up 77% of total exports [2] - Finland was the largest export partner, accounting for 16.3% of total exports, with a year-on-year growth of 4% [2] - Latvia and Sweden followed, representing 11.3% and 9.5% of total exports, with year-on-year increases of 3% and 20%, respectively [2] - Estonia imported €1.61 billion from EU member states, a 7% year-on-year increase, constituting 86% of total imports [2] - Imports from Finland accounted for 12.7%, with a year-on-year growth of 3%, while imports from Germany and Latvia increased by 15% and 10%, respectively [2]
中资离岸债每日总结(11.7) | 江苏金坛国发发行
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-10 03:00
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing over the past year aims to support the labor market, with an estimated policy adjustment space of 50 to 75 basis points remaining [2] - The Federal Reserve has cumulatively lowered interest rates by 150 basis points over the past year to ensure the labor market remains close to full employment [2] - The Federal Reserve has maintained a wait-and-see attitude in its monetary policy meetings this year, influenced by the extensive tariff policies of the Trump administration, and has implemented rate cuts again in September and October after a noticeable cooling in the labor market [2] Group 2 - As of November 6, the two-year Chinese government bond yield is at 1.43%, while the ten-year yield is at 1.81%. In the U.S., the two-year yield has decreased by 6 basis points to 3.57%, and the ten-year yield has also decreased by 6 basis points to 4.11% [7] - The top ten gainers and losers in Chinese dollar bonds are listed, indicating significant price fluctuations in various bonds, with some experiencing gains over 42% while others saw declines exceeding 52% [10][11] - As of the end of October, China's foreign exchange reserves increased to $33,433 billion, up by $4.7 billion from the end of September, reflecting a stable economic foundation and favorable long-term trends [12]
权威数读|我国货物贸易连续9个月保持增长
Xin Hua She· 2025-11-08 05:47
Core Viewpoint - In the first ten months of this year, China's goods trade has shown a steady growth trend, with a total import and export value of 37.31 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.6% and maintaining growth for nine consecutive months in a single month [1] Group 1 - The total import and export value reached 37.31 trillion yuan [1] - Year-on-year growth of 3.6% in the first ten months [1] - Continuous growth for nine consecutive months [1]
前10个月货物进出口同比增长3.6%
Core Insights - In October, China's total goods trade value reached 3.7 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 0.1%. Exports were 2.17 trillion yuan, down 0.8%, while imports were 1.53 trillion yuan, up 1.4%, marking five consecutive months of growth [1][2] Trade Performance - For the first ten months, China's total goods trade value was 37.31 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.6% year-on-year. Exports amounted to 22.12 trillion yuan, up 6.2%, and imports were 15.19 trillion yuan, remaining stable compared to the previous year [1][2] Product Categories - In the first ten months, electromechanical products accounted for over 60% of exports, with significant growth in integrated circuits and automobiles. Exports of electromechanical products reached 13.43 trillion yuan, up 8.7%, while integrated circuits grew by 24.7% to 1.16 trillion yuan, and automobile exports increased by 14.3% to 798.39 billion yuan [2] Market Distribution - ASEAN emerged as China's largest trading partner, with a trade value of 6.18 trillion yuan, up 9.1%, representing 16.6% of total foreign trade. The EU was the second-largest partner, with a trade value of 4.88 trillion yuan, up 4.9%, accounting for 13.1% of total foreign trade. Trade with Belt and Road countries totaled 19.28 trillion yuan, a 5.9% increase [2] Enterprise Types - Private enterprises and foreign-invested enterprises saw growth in trade. Private enterprises' trade value was 21.28 trillion yuan, up 7.2%, making up 57% of total foreign trade. Foreign-invested enterprises had a trade value of 10.91 trillion yuan, up 2.9%, representing 29.3% of total foreign trade. In contrast, state-owned enterprises experienced a decline, with a trade value of 5.04 trillion yuan, down 8.1%, accounting for 13.5% of total foreign trade [2]
X @外汇交易员
外汇交易员· 2025-11-07 03:03
海关总署:今年10月份,中国货物贸易进出口总值3.7万亿元,其中,进口1.53万亿元,同比增长1.4%,连续5个月保持增长。外汇交易员 (@myfxtrader):海关总署:今年前10个月,中国货物贸易进出口平稳增长,进出口总值37.31万亿元,同比增长3.6%。其中,对共建“一带一路”国家进出口19.28万亿元,同比增长5.9%,占我国外贸总值的51.7%。民营企业进出口21.28万亿元,同比增长7.2%。 ...