Workflow
跨式双卖策略
icon
Search documents
建信期货鸡蛋日报-20251107
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-07 06:51
Report Overview - Report date: November 7, 2025 [2] - Report industry: Eggs [1] - Research team: Agricultural Products Research Team [4] 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating provided in the report. 2. Core Views - The recent trend of the egg market has improved, with prices in low - price areas such as Hebei and Hubei gradually rising, and the northern red eggs remaining relatively stable. The egg inventory is at a turning point, but it is expected to remain high and decline slightly by the end of the year. The spot market is unlikely to have a continuous rebound without emotional support. The futures market is expected to fluctuate at a low level, and a straddle double - selling strategy is recommended for options. The risk lies in the unexpected duration and intensity of the continuous price increase in low - price areas [8] 3. Summary by Section 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Review**: - For the 2601 egg contract, the previous settlement price was 3374, the opening price was 3390, the highest price was 3396, the lowest price was 3361, the closing price was 3386, with a rise of 12 and a gain of 0.36%. The trading volume was 119,686, the open interest was 177,065, and the open interest change was 166,565 [7] - For the 2602 egg contract, the previous settlement price was 3077, the opening price was 3085, the highest price was 3092, the lowest price was 3062, the closing price was 3080, with a rise of 3 and a gain of 0.10%. The trading volume was 29,085, the open interest was 111,607, and the open interest change was 369 [7] - For the 2512 egg contract, the previous settlement price was 3198, the opening price was 3215, the highest price was 3240, the lowest price was 3200, the closing price was 3227, with a rise of 29 and a gain of 0.91%. The trading volume was 329,917, the open interest was 166,597, and the open interest change was - 8266 [7] - **Operation Suggestions**: The spot price of eggs has risen, with the average price in the main production areas at 2.92 yuan/jin, up 0.05 yuan/jin from yesterday, and the average price in the main sales areas at 3.17 yuan/jin, unchanged from yesterday. The 12 - contract rose 1.93%. The futures market is expected to fluctuate at a low level, and a straddle double - selling strategy is recommended for options [8] 3.2 Industry News - As of the end of September, the national monthly inventory of laying hens was about 1.368 billion, a month - on - month increase of 0.2%, and a year - on - year increase of 6.0%. The monthly output of laying hen chicks in sample enterprises in September was about 39.2 million, down from 39.81 million in August and significantly lower than 45.64 million in the same period in 2024. The culling volume in the first three weeks as of October 23 was 20.02 million, 20.32 million, and 19.76 million respectively. The average culling age as of October 23 was 499 days, unchanged from last week and 1 day later than last month [9][18] 3.3 Data Overview - The report provides multiple data charts, including the monthly inventory of laying hens in China, egg production area average prices, egg contract basis, and contract spreads, with data sources from Wind, Zhuochuang Information, and Trading Famen [11][12][17]