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【周度分析】车市扫描(2025年7月1日-7月6日)
乘联分会· 2025-07-10 08:37
Group 1: Market Overview - From July 1-6, the national retail sales of passenger cars reached 238,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 1%, but a decrease of 6% compared to the previous month. Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 11.14 million units, up 11% year-on-year [1][3] - In the same period, wholesale sales of passenger cars were 233,000 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 39% and no change from the previous month. Cumulative wholesale sales for the year reached 13.51 million units, up 13% year-on-year [1][5] - The retail penetration rate for new energy vehicles (NEVs) was 56.7%, with retail sales of 135,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 21% but a decrease of 11% from the previous month. Cumulative retail sales of NEVs reached 6.58 million units, up 37% year-on-year [1][3] Group 2: Market Trends and Predictions - The domestic economic situation has improved, particularly in exports, stabilizing domestic demand. July is expected to be a month of adjustment in the car market, with a structural differentiation in growth [3][4] - The trend of "old-for-new" vehicle replacement is anticipated to strengthen in the second half of the year, with recommendations for local governments to improve budget planning for subsidies [4][6] - The automotive industry is increasingly driven by both domestic and international demand, with a notable improvement in industry order and a strong start to production and sales in July [5][6] Group 3: Pricing Analysis - The number of models with price reductions has significantly decreased in 2025, with only 14 models in June compared to higher numbers in earlier months. The average price reduction for new energy vehicles was 12% in the first half of 2025 [8][9] - The average price reduction for conventional fuel vehicles was 8.9% in the first half of 2025, indicating a trend of stabilizing prices in the market [9][10] Group 4: Used Car Market Insights - The used car market in China is experiencing growth, with a transaction volume of 7.91 million units in the first five months of 2025, up 0.6% year-on-year, although transaction value decreased by 2.1% [9][10] - The potential for the used car market is significant, especially with the development of new energy vehicles, which provide consumers with lower-cost options for car ownership [10]