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节后开盘第一天!不管你现在是几成仓,三大数据告诉你明天怎么走
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-08 18:41
Group 1 - A significant 65.38% of private equity firms are heavily investing before the holiday, indicating a strong confidence in the market despite potential risks from external factors like the Russia-Ukraine situation and U.S. market volatility [1][3] - Historical data shows a 70% probability of the Shanghai Composite Index rising on the first trading day after the National Day holiday, with a 60% chance of gains over the following five trading days, suggesting a "National Day effect" [3] - The People's Bank of China is set to conduct a substantial 1.1 trillion yuan reverse repurchase operation immediately after the holiday, which could inject significant liquidity into the market [3] Group 2 - The technology sector, particularly AI and semiconductors, is favored by 60% of private equity firms, with expectations that collaborations like OpenAI and AMD will catalyze growth in the A-share computing sector [5] - 62.5% of private equity firms anticipate a balanced market style post-holiday, indicating potential rotation between technology stocks and value blue-chip assets [5] - The last trading day before the holiday typically sees lighter selling pressure due to the T+1 settlement system, which may enhance capital inflow after the holiday [7] Group 3 - The gold sector performed exceptionally well during the holiday, with Zijin Mining's subsidiary seeing a 68% surge on its first day of trading in Hong Kong, driven by global liquidity easing and the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset [7] - The upcoming third-quarter earnings reports are expected to create opportunities for sectors with strong performance, while also posing risks for those that underperform [9] - Quantitative funds are increasing market volatility through high-frequency trading, particularly affecting high-flying sectors like robotics, complicating market navigation for investors [9]