适度人口规模
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刘蓝予:把握人口高质量发展深刻内涵
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-12-10 00:07
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that population development is crucial for the modernization of China, requiring a focus on improving overall population quality to support Chinese-style modernization [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests promoting high-quality population development and establishing a comprehensive population service system covering all demographics and life cycles [1][2] - High-quality population development is key to transforming a large population into a significant development advantage, representing an important aspect of "modernization with a large population" [1] Group 2 - Maintaining an appropriate total population scale is essential for economic production and circulation, influencing both labor supply and domestic demand [2] - As of the end of 2024, the labor force aged 16 to 59 is nearly 900 million, with over 15 million new laborers added each year, indicating that the "demographic dividend" still exists [2] - To sustain reasonable population levels, it is crucial to implement forward-looking policies, improve fertility support systems, and promote positive marriage and childbirth concepts [2] Group 3 - Enhancing population quality is the core goal of achieving high-quality population development, requiring the transformation of "demographic dividends" into "talent dividends" [3] - Significant progress has been made in improving population quality, with a higher education enrollment rate exceeding 60% and an average life expectancy of 79 years [3] - Future efforts should focus on optimizing educational resource allocation and strengthening health security systems to enhance overall population quality [3] Group 4 - High-quality population development necessitates a reasonable structural characteristic, including age and gender dimensions [4] - By 2024, the proportion of the population aged 65 and older will reach 15.6%, indicating a transition to a moderately aging society [4] - Optimizing population structure involves improving elderly care services, promoting gender equality, and ensuring the long-term balanced development of the population [4] Group 5 - A scientific and reasonable population distribution is vital for high-quality population development, promoting orderly population flow and distribution between urban and rural areas [5] - The urbanization rate has reached 67% by 2024, narrowing the gap with developed countries [5] - Ideal population distribution should reflect "regional balance and moderate concentration," enhancing the resilience of high-quality population development [5] Group 6 - Promoting high-quality population development is a comprehensive, long-term, and complex process that requires a people-centered approach [6] - It is essential to integrate investments in people with material investments, establishing a comprehensive population service system that considers various life aspects [6] - Systematic thinking is necessary to align population development trends with macroeconomic policies, fostering better coordination between population and economic development [7]