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【UNFX课堂】特朗普的货币政策棋局:米兰提名与美联储独立性的挑战
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-08 03:04
Core Viewpoint - The nomination of Stephen Milan to the Federal Reserve Board by President Trump signals a clear direction for future U.S. monetary policy and the independence of the Federal Reserve [1][5]. Group 1: Economic Philosophy and Policy - Milan's economic philosophy aligns closely with Trump's "America First" agenda, advocating for supply-side economic policies such as tax cuts, deregulation, and increased energy production as fundamental measures against inflation [1]. - He is a staunch "hawk" on inflation, criticizing the Fed's previous rate cuts under Powell, arguing that the Fed's tolerance for inflation rates close to 3% undermines the legislative spirit of "stabilizing prices" [1][5]. Group 2: Independence of the Federal Reserve - Milan has expressed concerns over the blurred lines between fiscal and monetary policy since the 2008 financial crisis, suggesting that this has compromised the Fed's institutional independence [1][3]. - His call for Congress to reform the Fed's structure to allow the White House greater power to dismiss Fed officials indicates a push towards reducing the Fed's autonomy [2][3]. Group 3: Strategic Implications of the Nomination - The unexpected departure of current board member Kugler provides Trump with a strategic opportunity, as Milan's short-term appointment could influence future leadership decisions at the Fed [4]. - Milan's presence on the board, even for a brief period, is expected to heighten market uncertainty regarding the Fed's future policy direction, reflecting Trump's intent to exert influence over monetary policy [4][5].