造纸行业上行周期

Search documents
港股造纸股龙头大涨,提价及旺季需求下行业或迎新一轮上行周期
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-08-20 23:38
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Nine Dragons Paper Holdings has experienced a significant stock price increase of over 11% following the announcement of expected profits for the first half of the year between 2.1 billion to 2.3 billion yuan, representing a growth of 165% to 190% compared to last year's profit of 793 million yuan [1] - The profit growth is primarily attributed to an increase in sales and a notable decline in raw material costs, which decreased at a faster rate than the decline in product prices, thereby boosting gross margins [1] - According to Guotai Junan Securities, since July, leading paper companies, including Nine Dragons, have raised prices, resulting in an increase in the average price of recycled containerboard and corrugated paper across various regions [1] Group 2 - The price increase has accelerated significantly from late July to early August, driven by stable increases in the cost of waste paper, prompting smaller manufacturers to follow suit with price hikes [1] - It is anticipated that paper prices will continue to rise due to seasonal demand and cost pressures, leading to an expansion of the margin between paper prices and raw material costs, which is expected to improve profitability [1] - According to Industrial Securities, both paper and pulp prices are currently at historical lows, and as the fourth quarter approaches the traditional peak season, both prices are expected to rise, potentially leading the industry into an upward cycle [1]